Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 24
  • Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiaTOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Vidio
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.871.47
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
314
Passes
68% (176/259)83% (415/499)
Expected goals (xG)
0.871.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.681.14
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
11
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
314
Touches in opposition box
1745
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1011
Passes
68% (176/259)83% (415/499)
Long passes
44% (25/57)59% (29/49)
Passes in final third
63% (51/81)70% (120/171)
Crosses
21% (3/14)25% (9/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.68
Throw ins
1732
Fouls
1110
Tackles
56% (10/18)46% (12/26)
Duels won
5062
Clearances
5016
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
1.140.68
Goals prevented
0.14-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Semedo N. , Muldur M. ,
  • 28', Giannetti L. , Balci B. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Mercan L. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 2 - 0, van de Streek S. , Balci B. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 1, Cherif S. , Asensio M. (A),
  • 68', Sinik D. , Saric D. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Sari V. (Own goal),
  • 73', Yuksek I. , Fred ,
  • 74', Akturkoglu K. , Nene D. ,
  • 80', Storm N. , Karakoc S. ,
  • 81', van de Streek S. , Omur A. ,
  • 87', Muldur M. , Musaba A. ,
  • 87', Mercan L. , Brown A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Antalyaspor
14.5%
Draw
22.2%
Fenerbahçe
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11% 19.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5% 18.6% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Antalyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenerbahçe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.53
    (8.5)
    4.29
    (4.8)
    1.49
    (1.34)
    5.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 28 - 93.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 84.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Fenerbahçe (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 0.
    • Antalyaspor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Antalyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor 2:0
    02.03.2025 Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor 3:0
    29.09.2024 Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe 0:2
    03.02.2024 Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe 0:2
    17.09.2023 Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor 3:2
    Latest results of Antalyaspor
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig