Result
1:1
23/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 23
- Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 5 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Paraguay | ESPN 5 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Africa 2, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.10 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (483/551) | 65% (175/269) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (483/551) | 65% (175/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (27/42) | 29% (21/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (155/194) | 51% (41/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (7/38) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.00 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Soyuncu C. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
- 38', Diabate F. 🟨,
- 40', Oosterwolde J. ↓, Kante N. ↑,
- 41', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
- 42', Frimpong G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Musaba A. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
- 46', Benedyczak A. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
- 68', Tasdemir E. ↓, Cafu ↑,
- 70', Tosun C. 🟨,
- 76', Yuksek I. ↓, Fred ↑,
- 76', Mercan L. ↓, Cherif S. ↑,
- 76', Tosun C. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
- 80', Kante N. 🟨,
- 82', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
- 85', Arous A. ↓, Aydin T. ↑,
- 85', Diabate F. ↓, Allevinah J. ↑,
- 86', Cafu 🟨,
- 90+3', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Asensio M. ⚽, Nene D. (A),
- 90+6', Asensio M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
- 90+11', 1 - 1, Allevinah J. ⚽, Baldursson A. F. (A),
Chances of winning
Fenerbahçe
74.1% | Draw
16.1% | Kasımpaşa
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.3) |
5.82 ↑
(5.41) |
9.49 ↑
(8.75) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 33 - 91.7%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 82.7% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Fenerbahçe (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Fenerbahçe (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Fenerbahçe (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Fenerbahçe (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Fenerbahçe (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Fenerbahçe (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2.5 - Kasımpaşa (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Kasımpaşa (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Kasımpaşa (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 17 - 81%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 4 - 19%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4.
- Fenerbahçe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kasımpaşa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
Winck C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Skriniar M.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 55:19. (average 2.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 2.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Kasımpaşa?
Fenerbahçe has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Fenerbahçe?
Kasımpaşa has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa were as follows:
21.09.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Fenerbahçe
1:1
16.02.2025
Fenerbahçe
-
Kasımpaşa
3:1
09.01.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Fenerbahçe
0:3
15.09.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Fenerbahçe
0:2
24.02.2024
Fenerbahçe
-
Kasımpaşa
2:1
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:44 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 23:57 | -34 | 26 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
