Result
2:2
01/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 24
- Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Colombia | ESPN 5 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 5 |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Vidio |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 5 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (176/259) | 83% (415/499) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 45 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (176/259) | 83% (415/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 59% (29/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (51/81) | 70% (120/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 25% (9/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 46% (12/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Semedo N. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
- 28', Giannetti L. ↓, Balci B. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Mercan L. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 0, van de Streek S. ⚽, Balci B. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Cherif S. ⚽, Asensio M. (A),
- 68', Sinik D. ↓, Saric D. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Sari V. (Own goal),
- 73', Yuksek I. ↓, Fred ↑,
- 74', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
- 80', Storm N. ↓, Karakoc S. ↑,
- 81', van de Streek S. ↓, Omur A. ↑,
- 87', Muldur M. ↓, Musaba A. ↑,
- 87', Mercan L. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Antalyaspor
14.5% | Draw
22.2% | Fenerbahçe
63.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antalyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenerbahçe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.53 ↓
(8.5) |
4.29 ↓
(4.8) |
1.49 ↑
(1.34) |
5.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 28 - 93.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 84.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Fenerbahçe (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 0.
- Antalyaspor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fenerbahçe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Antalyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Antalyaspor won against Fenerbahçe?
Antalyaspor has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Antalyaspor?
Fenerbahçe has won 7 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
28.09.2025
Fenerbahçe
-
Antalyaspor
2:0
02.03.2025
Fenerbahçe
-
Antalyaspor
3:0
29.09.2024
Antalyaspor
-
Fenerbahçe
0:2
03.02.2024
Antalyaspor
-
Fenerbahçe
0:2
17.09.2023
Fenerbahçe
-
Antalyaspor
3:2
Latest results of Antalyaspor
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
