Result
3:1
20/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', Ardon J. 🟨,
- 11', Torres Chavez V. G. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Angulo Grueso B. A. ⚽,
- 23', de L. B. ↓, Bradley D. ↑,
- 34', 2 - 0, Angulo Grueso B. A. ⚽,
- 40', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Angulo Grueso B. A. 🟨,
- 55', Bradley D. 🟨,
- 61', Grijalva K. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
- 61', Daly J. ↓, Apaolaza F. ↑,
- 64', Ortiz J. ↓, Cerdas K. ↑,
- 65', Paz V. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
- 73', Quinteros F. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
- 77', Fernandez E. 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 1, Apaolaza F. ⚽,
- 82', Carbonell J. 🟨,
- 82', de Leon F. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
- 82', Angulo Grueso B. A. ↓, Lang D. ↑,
- 88', Carbonell J. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 1, Ochoa J. ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3f39ffsm
Chances of winning
Malacateco
36.1% | Draw
30.3% | Antigua GFC
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malacateco's form might have worsened.Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antigua GFC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malacateco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antigua GFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Malacateco - Antigua GFC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(1.94) |
3.04 ↓
(3.38) |
2.74 ↓
(3.4) |
8.6%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Antigua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Malacateco won against Antigua GFC?
Malacateco has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Antigua GFC won against Malacateco?
Antigua GFC has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malacateco - Antigua GFC were as follows:
09.04.2025
Malacateco
-
Antigua GFC
1:1
05.02.2025
Antigua GFC
-
Malacateco
2:3
14.09.2024
Antigua GFC
-
Malacateco
3:1
22.03.2024
Malacateco
-
Antigua GFC
2:2
01.11.2023
Antigua GFC
-
Malacateco
4:2
Latest results of Malacateco
Latest results of Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Municipal | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Antigua | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Aurora F.C | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Xelaju | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Mictlan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Malacateco | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Coban Imperial | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo Achuapa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Marquense | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 11 |
| 12 | Guastatoya | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:26 | -15 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
