Result
1:0
02/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
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South-america | Claro Sports 2 Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
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| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 15 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Palencia D. 🟨,
- 5', Almanza J. 🟨,
- 13', Morales B. 🟨,
- 17', Roskopf M. 🟨,
- 24', Arboine K. 🟨,
- 45+1', Sequen M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Soto A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arboine K. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Roskopf M. ⚽,
- 64', Soto A. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
- 66', Almanza J. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
- 71', Roskopf M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 74', Palencia D. 🟥,
- 76', Torres Chavez V. G. 🟨,
- 77', Sequen M. ↓, Lon A. ↑,
- 77', Ubico J. ↓, Cruz G. O. ↑,
- 80', Angulo Grueso B. A. ↓, Quinteros F. ↑,
- 80', Morales B. ↓, Paz V. ↑,
- 80', Andrade N. ↓, Meneses R. ↑,
- 83', Hernandez Y. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Malacateco 59.7% | Draw 24% | Deportivo Guastatoya 16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malacateco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malacateco's performance.Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+2%)
Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.68) |
3.81 ↑ (3.43) |
5.62 ↑ (4.6) |
9.4% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 2.
- Malacateco has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guastatoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Malacateco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Malacateco is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malacateco won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malacateco won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Malacateco won against Deportivo Guastatoya?
Malacateco has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Guastatoya won against Malacateco?
Deportivo Guastatoya has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya were as follows:
14.02.2026
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Malacateco
1:1
19.10.2025
Malacateco
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
0:1
09.08.2025
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Malacateco
1:2
22.03.2025
Deportivo Guastatoya
-
Malacateco
1:1
15.02.2025
Malacateco
-
Deportivo Guastatoya
5:2
Latest results of Malacateco
Latest results of Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Comunicaciones | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 32 |
| 2 | Deportivo Mixco | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Antigua | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Coban Imperial | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Municipal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Marquense | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Guastatoya | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | -10 | 25 |
| 10 | Aurora F.C | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | Deportivo Achuapa | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14:24 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Malacateco | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )