Luverdense vs Aparecidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Luverdense - Aparecidense
Result
3:1
07/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
92
Red Cards
02
Total shots
124
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Enzo ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Felipinho ,
  • 67', 🟥,
  • 67', Dyego 🟥,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Raul Prata ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Bruninho ,

Chances of winning


Luverdense
35.5%
Draw
28.9%
Aparecidense
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.6% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 28.5% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luverdense's performance.
  • Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aparecidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luverdense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aparecidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luverdense - Aparecidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (3.1)
    3.13
    (3.25)
    2.54
    (2.06)
    10.7%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Luverdense - Aparecidense?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Luverdense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aparecidense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luverdense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aparecidense (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Luverdense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aparecidense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Luverdense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Luverdense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luverdense - Aparecidense were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    Latest results of Luverdense
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Luverdense - Porto Velho 1:0
    10.05.2025 Luverdense - Ceilândia 2:2
    03.05.2025 Mixto - Luverdense 0:1
    Latest results of Aparecidense
    31.05.2025 Aparecidense - Luverdense 4:1
    24.05.2025 Ceilândia - Aparecidense 2:3
    21.05.2025 Aparecidense - Fluminense 1:4
    17.05.2025 Aparecidense - Goiânia 3:1
    04.05.2025 Goianésia - Aparecidense 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Tuna LusoMaranhao1 : 4
    2LagartoCentral SC0 : 1
    3ImperatrizManaus2 : 0
    4America RNJuazeirense1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe1 : 2
    7ManauaraSampaio Correa
    8ASAFerroviario1 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 1
    11Rio Branco ESLuverdense0 : 0
    12Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville1 : 1
    15CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 1
    16Barra FCCascavel1 : 0