Result
1:2
08/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 21
- Referee: Christodoulou I. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Marquinhos 🟨,
- 20', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 26', Degenek M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Koutsakos N. ⚽,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Cabrera E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Mancini D. ↓, Abagna D. ↑,
- 64', Cabrera E. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
- 67', Ivanovic D. 🟨,
- 74', Miramon 🟨,
- 74', Garcia P. 🟨,
- 74', Koutsakos N. ↓, Drazic S. ↑,
- 78', Vitor Meer 🟨,
- 79', Garcia A. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
- 79', Amyn Y. ↓, Rohden M. ↑,
- 80', Milicevic H. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Rohden M. ⚽,
- 82', Rohden M. 🟨,
- 87', Diego Rosa ↓, Diamantakos D. ↑,
- 87', Nanu ↓, Poursaitidis C. ↑,
- 89', Bajic R. ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
Chances of winning
APOEL
33.7% | Draw
30.4% | AEK Larnaca
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+4%)
APOEL - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(2.9) |
3.05 ↓
(3.22) |
2.59 ↑
(2.41) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for APOEL - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. APOEL will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): APOEL will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in APOEL: Degenek M.
(Inactive)
Mancini D.
(Inactive)
Sotiriou P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Jimmy Suarez
(Inactive)
Naoum G.
(Inactive)
Rohden M.
(Inactive)
Rubio W.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in APOEL: Meyer M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Garcia A.
(Inactive)
Miramon
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, APOEL won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has APOEL won against AEK Larnaca?
APOEL has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against APOEL?
AEK Larnaca has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between APOEL - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
27.10.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
APOEL
1:1
04.05.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
APOEL
3:0
02.04.2025
APOEL
-
AEK Larnaca
0:1
20.01.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
APOEL
2:1
06.10.2024
APOEL
-
AEK Larnaca
0:1
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 55:16 | 39 | 54 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 40:22 | 18 | 44 |
| 5 | APOEL | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40:22 | 18 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 39 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 28 |
| 9 | Chloraka | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 26 |
| 10 | Anorthosis ✔ | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 17:32 | -15 | 25 |
| 11 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19:30 | -11 | 24 |
| 12 | Achnas ✔ | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 24:39 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Krasava ✔ | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19:28 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 23 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5:56 | -51 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
