AEK Larnaca vs APOEL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Cypriot First Division AEK Larnaca - APOEL
Result
3:0
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 34
  • Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
10
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
85
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
14
Corner Kicks
10
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
139
Throw-ins
1012
Fouls
810
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Naoum G. ,
  • 22', Rohden M. 🟨,
  • 28', Sotiriou P. , El Arabi Y. ,
  • 37', Chebake I. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Gama B. ,
  • 42', Petrovic R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Chebake I. , Vitor Meer ,
  • 46', Garcia A. , Gnali J. ,
  • 46', Milicevic H. , Ekpolo G. ,
  • 46', Rohden M. , Cantalapiedra A. ,
  • 46', Antoniou E. , Gabriel Maioli ,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Gama B. ,
  • 58', Angielski K. , Sol F. ,
  • 67', Satsias G. 🟨,
  • 69', Tejera S. , Galanopoulos K. ,
  • 76', Kattirtzis P. , Pizzi ,
  • 90+2', Gama B. , Chacon Y. ,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
49%
Draw
26.6%
APOEL
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 26.7% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • AEK Larnaca - APOEL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.82)
    3.51
    (3.48)
    3.83
    (4.2)
    7%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • APOEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AEK Larnaca is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in APOEL: Marquinhos (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - APOEL were as follows:
    02.04.2025 APOEL - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    20.01.2025 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 2:1
    06.10.2024 APOEL - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    17.07.2024 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 0:0
    11.05.2024 APOEL - AEK Larnaca 1:1
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    30.04.2025 Omonia - AEK Larnaca 0:0
    22.04.2025 AEK Larnaca - Omonia 1:1
    13.04.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 2:2
    Latest results of APOEL
    26.04.2025 Apollon Limassol - APOEL 0:0
    22.04.2025 APOEL - Aris Limassol 2:1
    13.04.2025 APOEL - Omonia 1:1
    06.04.2025 Paphos - APOEL 0:1
    02.04.2025 APOEL - AEK Larnaca 0:1
    Cypriot First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aris22004:136
    2Achnas21102:114
    3Chloraka21101:014
    4AEK Larnaca11002:023
    5Pafos11001:013
    6AEL Limassol21012:203
    7APOEL21012:203
    8Ypsonas21014:223
    9Ol. Nicosia21012:3-13
    10Anorthosis20111:2-11
    11Omonia Aradippou20110:1-11
    12Omonia10011:2-10
    13Paralimni10010:1-10
    14Apollon20021:6-50

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