APOEL vs Aris Limassol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
37
Corner kicks
18
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
713
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
46
Corner kicks
18
Offsides
12
Free kicks
189
Throw ins
1828
Fouls
815

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Fi Akamba C. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Koutsakos N. ,
  • 22', Fi Akamba C. , Gustavo Paje ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nanu , Stafylidis K. ,
  • 46', Balogun L. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Gaustad D. ,
  • 65', Olayinka P. 🟨,
  • 67', Koutsakos N. , Dalcio ,
  • 67', Olayinka P. , Drazic S. ,
  • 67', Meyer M. , Marquinhos ,
  • 71', Effaghe R. , Kokorin A. ,
  • 71', Gaustad D. , Kakoullis A. ,
  • 74', Yago S. 🟨,
  • 74', Poursaitidis C. , Yiannacou K. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Drazic S. ,
  • 83', Drazic S. 🟨,
  • 86', Lelle D. , Gomis Y. ,
  • 86', Montnor J. , Sane M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


APOEL
41.8%
Draw
27.3%
Aris Limassol
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28.5% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 28.5% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in APOEL's performance.
  • Aris Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with APOEL that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • APOEL - Aris Limassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.61)
    3.39
    (3.28)
    3
    (2.61)
    8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for APOEL - Aris Limassol?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. APOEL (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: APOEL will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Aris Limassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • APOEL could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in APOEL: Laifis K. (Inactive) Stafylidis K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Aris Limassol: Kalulu G. (Inactive) Nikolic V. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in APOEL: Sotiriou P. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, APOEL won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between APOEL - Aris Limassol were as follows:
    15.03.2026 Aris Limassol - APOEL 1:2
    07.12.2025 APOEL - Aris Limassol 2:0
    22.04.2025 APOEL - Aris Limassol 2:1
    15.03.2025 Aris Limassol - APOEL 1:0
    01.03.2025 Aris Limassol - APOEL 3:0
    Latest results of APOEL
    22.03.2026 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 1:0
    15.03.2026 Aris Limassol - APOEL 1:2
    08.03.2026 APOEL - Anorthosis 0:2
    28.02.2026 AEL Limassol - APOEL 2:3
    22.02.2026 APOEL - Omonia 1:0
    Latest results of Aris Limassol
    Cypriot First Division Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7AEL Limassol281141335:39-437
    8Anorthosis28811926:36-1035
    9Krasava281041429:36-734
    10Omonia Aradippou281041424:36-1234
    11Ol. Nicosia287101125:39-1431
    12Achnas28831727:45-1827
    13Chloraka28751625:53-2826
    14Paralimni2811268:71-634

          Relegation ~ Division 2