Result
2:3
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 24
- Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Mancini D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 57', Koutsakos N. ↓, Abagna D. ↑,
- 58', Zdravkovski D. ↓, Singh L. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Leo Natel ⚽,
- 59', 1 - 2, Abagna D. ⚽,
- 67', Mancini D. 🟨,
- 68', Glavcic N. 🟨,
- 74', Maseko T. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
- 77', Tomas M. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Drazic S. ⚽,
- 84', Leo Natel ↓, Makris A. ↑,
- 84', Imanishimwe E. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
- 84', Glavcic N. ↓, Jradi B. Z. ↑,
- 85', Mancini D. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 85', Dalcio ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
- 86', Laifis K. ↓, Degenek M. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 3, Sergio Conceicao (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
AEL Limassol
26.6% | Draw
28% | APOEL
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEL Limassol's performance.APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and APOEL might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEL Limassol that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that APOEL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEL Limassol - APOEL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↓
(4.41) |
3.31 ↓
(3.66) |
2.04 ↑
(1.75) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEL Limassol - APOEL?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 1 - 20%). APOEL will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. APOEL (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- AEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- APOEL could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in AEL: Frantzis C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in APOEL: Sotiriou P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in APOEL: Gabriel Maioli
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Limassol won against APOEL?
AEL Limassol has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has APOEL won against AEL Limassol?
APOEL has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEL Limassol - APOEL were as follows:
23.11.2025
APOEL
-
AEL Limassol
1:2
16.02.2025
AEL Limassol
-
APOEL
1:2
10.11.2024
APOEL
-
AEL Limassol
4:0
11.02.2024
AEL Limassol
-
APOEL
1:1
11.11.2023
APOEL
-
AEL Limassol
1:0
Latest results of AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:17 | 39 | 55 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 49 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:22 | 22 | 47 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 42:24 | 18 | 45 |
| 5 | APOEL ✔ | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Aris ✔ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 40 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol ✔ | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou ✔ | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
| 9 | Anorthosis ✔ | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 10 | Chloraka ✔ | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23:41 | -18 | 26 |
| 11 | Krasava ✔ | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 25 |
| 13 | Achnas ✔ | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 24 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 5:59 | -54 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
APOEL is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Aris is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEL Limassol is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Omonia Aradippou is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Chloraka is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
