APOEL vs Astana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League APOEL - Astana
Result
1:1
19/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.06
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1610
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
115
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
1613
Offsides
20
Fouls
1316
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
11
Throw-ins
1514
Touches in the Opposition Box
136
Passes
77% (205/265)86% (389/451)
Passes in the final third
59% (40/68)69% (58/84)
Crosses
17% (3/18)40% (4/10)
Tackles
83% (15/18)76% (13/17)
Clearances Total
1019
Interceptions
97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Ebong M. 🟨,
  • 31', Kostadinov G. 🟨,
  • 35', Petrovic R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Abagna D. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Donis A. ⚽, El Arabi Y. (A),
  • 61', Kostadinov G. ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Kazukolovas K. ⚽, Tomasov M. (A),
  • 65', Ebong M. 🟨,
  • 68', Gripshi N. ↓, Osei B. ↑,
  • 70', Osei B. 🟨,
  • 70', Satsias G. 🟨,
  • 70', Satsias G. 🟨,
  • 78', Petrovic R. ↓, Dvali L. ↑,
  • 84', Condric J. 🟨,
  • 85', Ndongala D. ↓, Corbu M. ↑,
  • 86', Donis A. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
  • 87', Camara O. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
  • 88', Geoffrey C. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
  • 89', Astanov E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


APOEL
67.1%		Draw
20.4%		Astana
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 21.9% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 21.8% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • APOEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
    •

    APOEL - Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↓
    (1.48)    		 4.61 ↑
    (4.28)    		 7.53 ↑
    (6.52)    		 6.1%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for APOEL - Astana?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. APOEL will win (votes: 30 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for APOEL: 81.1% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches APOEL won 2.
    • APOEL is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Astana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • APOEL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match APOEL is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in APOEL: Sarfo K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in APOEL: Marquinhos (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches APOEL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams APOEL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
    Latest results of APOEL
    15.12.2024 APOEL - Enosis Neon Paralimni 2:0 ✺
    12.12.2024 Noah Yerevan - APOEL 1:3 ✺
    07.12.2024 Omonia - APOEL 2:2
    02.12.2024 APOEL - Aris Limassol 1:2 ✺
    28.11.2024 Molde - APOEL 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Astana
    12.12.2024 Astana - Chelsea 1:3 ✺
    28.11.2024 Astana - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1 ✺
    23.11.2024 Zhenis - Astana 0:2
    10.11.2024 Astana - Zhetysu 5:0
    07.11.2024 Paphos - Astana 1:0 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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