Police vs APR – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
20/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
rwandaRwandaMagic Sports TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)

Chances of winning


Police
22.7%
Draw
32.6%
APR
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 31.9% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 32.1% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.
  • APR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting APR's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for APR than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for APR, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Police - APR Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (2.44)
    2.79
    (2.82)
    2.04
    (2.87)
    10%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Police - APR?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. APR (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - APR (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: APR will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. APR (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • APR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • APR might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Police won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:26. (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police - APR were as follows:
    06.12.2025 APR - Police 0:0
    30.04.2025 APR - Police 1:0
    15.04.2025 Police - APR 1:1
    02.03.2025 Police - APR 1:3
    04.12.2024 APR - Police 1:1
    Latest results of Police
    13.02.2026 Police - Rayon Sports 0:1
    08.02.2026 Police - Kigali 0:1
    11.01.2026 Kiyovu Sports - Police 0:0
    08.01.2026 Al-Merreikh - Police 1:1
    03.01.2026 Police - Gorilla 4:0
    Latest results of APR
    14.02.2026 APR - Kiyovu Sports 1:1
    07.02.2026 Bugesera - APR 2:2
    04.02.2026 Gasogi United - APR 0:3
    18.01.2026 APR - Al-Merreikh 0:0
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman21143450:163445
    2APR22119230:171342
    3Al-Merreikh21118224:141041
    4Police22910320:11937
    5Rayon Sport22107527:24337
    6Mukura Victory Sports2297624:21334
    7Kiyovu2189421:12933
    8Musanze2296731:23833
    9Marines2184925:24128
    10Bugesera2167820:22-225
    11Gasogi United2267917:26-925
    12Gicumbi23671026:38-1225
    13AS Kigali2258915:21-623
    14Gorilla22571015:25-1022
    15Etincelles22310916:25-919
    16Rutsiro21461124:33-918
    17Amagaju2246129:27-1818
    18Muhanga21451213:28-1517

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation