Result
1:1
01/05/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Gorilla 27.9% | Draw 33.4% | Police 38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Police might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Gorilla - Police Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.23 ↓ (3.55) |
2.7 ↓ (2.88) |
2.33 ↑ (2) |
11% (12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 1.
- Gorilla is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Police's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Police is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorilla won against Police?
Gorilla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Gorilla?
Police has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorilla - Police were as follows:
03.01.2026
Police
-
Gorilla
4:0
20.10.2024
Police
-
Gorilla
0:0
03.11.2023
Police
-
Gorilla
1:0
20.01.2023
Gorilla
-
Police
2:3
26.11.2022
Police
-
Gorilla
0:1
Latest results of Gorilla
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 29:30 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 25:38 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation