APS Bomet vs Mara Sugar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Musungu R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 83', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


APS Bomet
33%
Draw
33.5%
Mara Sugar
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 32.2% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 33.2% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • APS Bomet - Mara Sugar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.62)
    2.7
    (2.82)
    2.7
    (2.74)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 11).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, APS Bomet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, APS Bomet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of APS Bomet
    21.12.2025 APS Bomet - Tusker 0:1
    16.12.2025 Kenya CB - APS Bomet 4:2
    12.12.2025 APS Bomet - Posta Rangers 0:0
    07.12.2025 APS Bomet - Bandari 1:0
    29.11.2025 Sofapaka - APS Bomet 0:0
    Latest results of Mara Sugar
    22.12.2025 Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal 1:3
    17.12.2025 Shabana - Mara Sugar 0:0
    29.11.2025 Mara Sugar - Tusker 0:1
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8Bandari23711519:17232
    9KCB2295822:23-132
    10Nairobi United1985625:20529
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League