Carabanchel vs Aravaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Carabanchel
38.2%
Draw
25.4%
Aravaca
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 25.6% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 25.3% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carabanchel's form might have worsened.
  • Aravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aravaca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabanchel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carabanchel - Aravaca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.07)
    3.72
    (3.55)
    2.58
    (2.98)
    6.1%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Carabanchel - Aravaca?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aravaca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Carabanchel (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Carabanchel (3.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Carabanchel (votes: 3 - 75%). Aravaca (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Aravaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carabanchel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabanchel - Aravaca were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Aravaca - Carabanchel 1:1
    Latest results of Carabanchel
    04.05.2025 México - Carabanchel 1:0
    27.04.2025 Carabanchel - Parla 2:2
    13.04.2025 Carabanchel - Las Rozas 2:0
    06.04.2025 Canillas - Carabanchel 0:0
    Latest results of Aravaca
    04.05.2025 Aravaca - El Álamo 6:1
    26.04.2025 Collado Villalba - Aravaca 4:2
    17.04.2025 Aravaca - Galapagar 1:0
    13.04.2025 Trival Valderas - Aravaca 2:1
    05.04.2025 Cala Pozuelo - Aravaca 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

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