Carabanchel vs Parla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/04/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Gutierrez H. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Pastor F. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Manzano C. ,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Miguel Pacheco ,

Chances of winning


Carabanchel
51.4%
Draw
28.7%
Parla
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 28.3% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 27.1% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Carabanchel - Parla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.78)
    3.33
    (3.2)
    4.8
    (4.3)
    4.6%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 1.
    • Carabanchel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Parla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Carabanchel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Carabanchel is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabanchel - Parla were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Parla - Carabanchel 3:1
    27.04.2025 Carabanchel - Parla 2:2
    15.12.2024 Parla - Carabanchel 1:0
    Latest results of Carabanchel
    28.03.2026 Alcorcón B - Carabanchel 1:1
    22.03.2026 Carabanchel - México 0:0
    15.03.2026 Tres Cantos - Carabanchel 1:0
    08.03.2026 Galapagar - Carabanchel 2:1
    Latest results of Parla
    29.03.2026 Parla - Móstoles URJC 1:1
    15.03.2026 Parla - Racing Madrid 0:2
    08.03.2026 Las Rozas - Parla 3:0
    01.03.2026 Parla - Unión Adarve 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C33189682:453763
    2Trival Valderas331851048:341459
    3AD Torrejon33169856:461057
    4Las Rozas33168957:391856
    5Leganes B33159962:313154
    6Union Adarve331481143:42150
    7CD Mostoles331481150:44650
    8San Sebastian Reyes B331113941:35646
    9Pozuelo de Alarcon3311121037:32545
    10Alcorcon B3311101235:32343
    11Villaverde San Andres3310131032:40-843
    12Galapagar3310131039:46-743
    13Mexico FC331191343:48-542
    14Siello331251636:45-941
    15Carabanchel339111330:33-338
    16Tres Cantos331032039:62-2333
    17Parla33762029:65-3627
    18Ciudad de Madrid33572131:71-4022

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