Result
0:2
21/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Santos F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Santos F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 55', Rustamli R. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
- 60', Turabov E. ↓, Abdullayev S. ↑,
- 64', Keyta H. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
- 67', Cahangirov U. ↓, Kings P. ↑,
- 67', Abdullayev V. ↓, Qadirzada I. ↑,
- 72', Santos F. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 77', Ahmadzada M. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 77', Ramon Machado ↓, Simakala B. ↑,
- 78', Diniyev C. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 84', Alxasov 🟨,
Chances of winning
Karvan
19.3% | Draw
26.3% | Araz Naxçıvan
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Karvan - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.73 ↑
(4.1) |
3.46 ↓
(3.73) |
1.68 ↓
(1.7) |
9.8%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Karvan - Araz Naxçıvan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karvan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Araz will win (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Araz (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ I Liqa and 7).
- Karvan is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Araz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Araz is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Karvan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Karvan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Karvan?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karvan - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
08.11.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Karvan
2:1
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
