Result
2:1
13/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Rahimov K. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
- 17', Simakala B. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Keyta H. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, Simakala B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, Spence K. C. ⚽,
- 72', Paro I. ↓, Bruno Franco ↑,
- 73', Spence K. C. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
- 75', Cahangirov U. 🟨,
- 82', Rustamli R. ↓, Abdullayev A. ↑,
- 85', Simakala B. ↓, Ramon Machado ↑,
- 86', Rodrigues N. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 86', Diniyev C. 🟨,
- 90', Rustamov E. ↓, Kings P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Araz Naxçıvan
57.9% | Draw
24.3% | Karvan
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Araz Naxçıvan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Araz Naxçıvan - Karvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.48) |
3.8 ↓
(4.14) |
5.18 ↓
(5.91) |
8.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Araz Naxçıvan - Karvan?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Araz will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Karvan will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Araz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Karvan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Araz is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Araz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Araz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Karvan?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karvan won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Karvan has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Araz Naxçıvan - Karvan were as follows:
21.02.2026
Karvan
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:2
08.11.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Karvan
2:1
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
