Result
27/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
- Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Chances of winning
Araz Naxçıvan
27.2% | Draw
29.9% | Zira
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Araz Naxçıvan's performance.Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Araz Naxçıvan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Araz Naxçıvan - Zira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(4.3) |
3.05 ↓
(3.38) |
2.13 ↑
(1.75) |
9.6%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Zira is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Araz won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Zira?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Zira has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Araz Naxçıvan - Zira were as follows:
19.08.2025
Zira
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:1
25.05.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Zira
0:1
28.02.2025
Zira
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:2
06.02.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Zira
1:0
18.01.2025
Zira
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:0
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 42:12 | 30 | 52 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 36:13 | 23 | 45 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 40 |
| 4 | Zira | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 35 |
| 5 | Araz | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Neftci Baku | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 30 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 25 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Gabala | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18:28 | -10 | 15 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 14:45 | -31 | 13 |
| 12 | Karvan | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13:44 | -31 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
