Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Aliyev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Andrade P. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Faraj I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 2 - 0, Breno Almeida ⚽,
- 63', Paro I. ↓, Alxasov ↑,
- 63', Andrade P. ↓, Diniyev C. ↑,
- 63', Santos F. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Alxasov ⚽,
- 75', Rodrigues N. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 78', Faraj I. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
- 78', Breno Almeida ↓, Curci A. ↑,
- 78', Mahmudov E. ↓, D'Almeida S. ↑,
- 81', Cohen B. 🟨,
- 81', Simakala B. ↓, Ramon Machado ↑,
- 84', Vargas F. ↓, Aboubakar V. ↑,
- 88', Safarov E. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
- 90', Buludov O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Baku
66.2% | Draw
20.3% | Araz Naxçıvan
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftchi Baku's performance.Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Araz Naxçıvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftchi Baku that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.6) |
4.52 ↑
(3.6) |
6.81 ↑
(4.85) |
8.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Neftchi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Araz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 1.
- Neftchi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Araz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Neftchi is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Baku won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Neftchi Baku has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Neftchi Baku?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
01.02.2026
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Neftchi Baku
0:4
19.10.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:2
29.03.2025
Neftchi Baku
-
Araz Naxçıvan
1:1
26.01.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Neftchi Baku
2:1
01.11.2024
Neftchi Baku
-
Araz Naxçıvan
0:1
Latest results of Neftchi Baku
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 69:21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61:22 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 56 |
| 4 | Neftci Baku | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Zira | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 38:32 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Araz | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | -3 | 38 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 32 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 24:58 | -34 | 24 |
| 11 | Gabala | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
| 12 | Karvan | 29 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 21:59 | -38 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
