Result
0:2
27/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Shamena B. ⚽,
- 31', 0 - 2, Yasin Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bahir Dar Kenema
42.5% | Draw
33.8% | Arba Minch
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.08) |
2.68 ↓
(2.9) |
3.82 ↑
(3.5) |
10.3%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahir Dar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bahir Dar (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahir Dar (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bahir Dar might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bahir Dar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Arba Minch?
Bahir Dar Kenema has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Bahir Dar Kenema?
Arba Minch has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bahir Dar Kenema - Arba Minch were as follows:
24.10.2025
Arba Minch
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
1:1
28.05.2025
Bahir Dar Kenema
-
Arba Minch
0:2
26.10.2024
Arba Minch
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
1:0
02.05.2023
Bahir Dar Kenema
-
Arba Minch
2:2
26.12.2022
Arba Minch
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
0:2
Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema
Latest results of Arba Minch
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 55 |
| 2 | Mechal | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 | Hawassa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 43 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 22:17 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 29 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sheger Ketema | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 36 |
| 10 | St. George | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Hadiya Hossana | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 35 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Adama City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 34 |
| 17 | Dire Dawa | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 33 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 18:23 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 30 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 21:34 | -13 | 25 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
