Arba Minch vs Fasil Kenema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ethiopian Premier League Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema
Result
1:0
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ETHIOPIA: Premier League - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball Possession
32%68%
Goal Attempts
10
Shots on Goal
10
Shots off Goal
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Iyassu T. ,
  • 2', Iyassu T. 🟨,
  • 15', Iyassu T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arba Minch
35.7%
Draw
31.9%
Fasil Kenema
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 32.3% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 31.2% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fasil Kenema's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arba Minch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.22)
    2.86
    (2.8)
    2.82
    (3.34)
    9.6%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arba Minch won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Arba Minch won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arba Minch won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch 0:1
    08.05.2023 Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch 1:1
    19.11.2022 Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema 1:1
    Latest results of Arba Minch
    Latest results of Fasil Kenema
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ethiopian Insurance34227549:153473
    2Ethiopia Bunna34179832:181460
    3Bahir Dar Kenema341591040:241654
    4Hawassa341411940:31953
    5Sidama Bunna341213927:28-149
    6Welayta Dicha341391234:38-448
    7Arba Menche341381332:31147
    8Hadiya Hossana3412111132:31147
    9St. George3412101230:30046
    10Mechal341015936:32445
    11Ethiopia Nigd Bank3410141034:34044
    12Ethio Electric3411111227:28-144
    13Dire Dawa3410131134:36-243
    14Fasil Kenema34916933:35-243
    15Mekelle 70 Enderta3410111327:36-941
    16Adama City341091534:45-1139
    17Shire Endaselassie343131822:46-2422
    18Welwalo Adigrat342131921:46-2519
    19Wolkite Ketema00000:000

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