Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 68', 0 - 1, Gugsa C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', 0 - 2, Musiige C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arba Minch
24.4% | Draw
33.8% | Mechal
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Arba Minch - Mechal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↑
(3.43) |
2.67 ↓
(2.86) |
2.17 ↓
(2.24) |
10.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Mechal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mechal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Mechal?
Arba Minch has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mechal won against Arba Minch?
Mechal has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Mechal were as follows:
15.04.2025
Mechal
-
Arba Minch
1:0
29.11.2024
Arba Minch
-
Mechal
1:3
Latest results of Arba Minch
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 45 |
| 2 | Hawassa | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Ethio Electric | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Mechal | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Fasil Kenema | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Adama City | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 22:23 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 32 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 24 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32:32 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Ethiopian Insurance | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
| 14 | Welwalo Adigrat | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Dire Dawa | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 | Welayta Dicha | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 27 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 18 | St. George | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 16:20 | -4 | 25 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
