Arba Minch vs Mechal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
27
Shots on target
23
Corner kicks
13
Total shots
27
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
04
Corner kicks
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Gugsa C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+1', 0 - 2, Musiige C. ,

Chances of winning


Arba Minch
24.4%
Draw
33.8%
Mechal
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 32.1% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 30.3% 43.4%

Arba Minch - Mechal Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.7
(3.43)
2.67
(2.86)
2.17
(2.24)
10.6%
(8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).
  • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
  • Mechal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Mechal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
  • Including home match between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Mechal were as follows:
15.04.2025 Mechal - Arba Minch 1:0
29.11.2024 Arba Minch - Mechal 1:3
Latest results of Arba Minch
Latest results of Mechal
10.01.2026 Mechal - Bahir Dar Kenema 1:2
31.12.2025 Mechal - Ethiopia Bunna 0:1
26.12.2025 Adama City - Mechal 1:3
21.12.2025 Mechal - Ethio Electric 0:0
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Sidama Bunna1998224:101435
2Hawassa19105422:101235
3Negele Arsi Ketema19105421:12935
4Fasil Kenema1989214:8633
5Mechal1986524:15930
6Adama City19610315:14128
7Ethio Electric1969411:10127
8St. George1966716:14224
9Bahir Dar Kenema19412314:13124
10Hadiya Hossana1966717:20-324
11Dire Dawa1959513:18-524
12Shire Endaselassie1958613:13023
13Ethiopia Bunna1965816:20-423
14Ethiopia Nigd Bank1949622:24-221
15Sheger Ketema1949614:17-321
16Ethiopian Insurance1948712:15-320
17Mekelle 70 Enderta1939713:22-918
18Welwalo Adigrat1938813:22-917
19Welayta Dicha19210716:21-516
20Arba Menche1919910:22-1212

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