Arba Minch vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 29

Match Stats


Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
3	8
Shots on target
1	2
Corner kicks
6	9
Total shots
3	8
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
2	6
Corner kicks
6	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning

Arba Minch
31%

Draw
33.7%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

31.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arba Minch's form might have worsened.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arba Minch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.4)	2.68 ↓ (2.88)	2.56 ↓ (2.85)	10.5% (11.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
Including home match between the teams, Arba Minch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Arba Minch won against Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Arba Minch has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopia Nigd Bank won against Arba Minch?

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank were as follows:

19.12.2025 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch 3:1

10.04.2025 Arba Minch - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1:1

03.10.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch 3:1

Latest results of Arba Minch

19.04.2026 Ethiopia Bunna - Arba Minch 1:1 ✺

13.04.2026 Arba Minch - Saint George 1:0 ✺

09.04.2026 Arba Minch - Hadiya Hossana 0:1 ✺

03.04.2026 Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Arba Minch - Ethiopian Medhin 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Ethiopia Nigd Bank

18.04.2026 Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2:0 ✺

14.04.2026 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sidama Coffee 0:1 ✺

08.04.2026 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Mekelle 70 Enderta 3:0 ✺

04.04.2026 Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City 4:2 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	29	15	10	4	35:17	18	55
2	Mechal	29	12	11	6	36:22	14	47
3	Negele Arsi Ketema	29	11	12	6	27:20	7	45
4	Hawassa	29	11	10	8	31:23	8	43
5	Fasil Kenema	29	10	13	6	19:18	1	43
6	Ethio Electric	29	10	12	7	22:17	5	42
7	Ethiopia Bunna	29	11	8	10	33:33	0	41
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	29	7	16	6	21:22	-1	37
9	Sheger Ketema	29	7	15	7	26:25	1	36
10	St. George	29	9	9	11	24:27	-3	36
11	Welayta Dicha	29	7	14	8	28:27	1	35
12	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	29	8	11	10	35:35	0	35
13	Welwalo Adigrat	29	8	11	10	26:30	-4	35
14	Hadiya Hossana	29	8	11	10	26:31	-5	35
15	Ethiopian Insurance	29	7	13	9	24:23	1	34
16	Adama City	29	7	13	9	25:30	-5	34
17	Dire Dawa	29	7	12	10	20:30	-10	33
18	Shire Endaselassie	29	6	12	11	18:23	-5	30
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	29	6	12	11	21:31	-10	30
20	Arba Menche	29	4	13	12	21:34	-13	25

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