Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia
Result
2:1 penalties
31/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Conference League - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 5
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
722
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
211
Yellow Cards
62
Total shots
722
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
210
Corner Kicks
211
Offsides
55
Free Kicks
1619
Throw-ins
2334
Fouls
1310
Goalkeeper Saves
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Yordanov T. 🟨,
  • 26', Tsonev B. 🟨,
  • 30', Dellova L. 🟨,
  • 42', Sanyang S. 🟨,
  • 43', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Vion T. ,
  • 64', Carreazo M. , Bytyqi Z. ,
  • 65', Gospodinov A. 🟨,
  • 68', Tilev I. , Shinyashiki A. ,
  • 70', Kotev L. 🟨,
  • 71', Offor C. 🟨,
  • 80', Tsonev B. , Yusein S. ,
  • 82', Iliev I. , Cooper L. ,
  • 89', Shopov S. , Panayotov P. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Shinyashiki A. , Offor C. (A),
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Eboa F. , Idowu D. ,
  • 97', Skarsem O. , Tasev I. ,
  • 101', Kovachev S. , Statev S. ,
  • 106', Lapena A. , Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ,
  • 106', Vion T. , Turitsov I. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 1)
  • 1, Offor C. (Pen),
  • 1, Pittas I. (Pen),
  • 2, Yusein S. (Pen),
  • 2, Sanyang S. (Pen),
  • 3, Kotev L. (Pen),
  • 3, Eto'o J. (Pen),
  • 4, Idowu D. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arda Kardzhali
17.2%
Draw
25.5%
CSKA Sofia
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 25.9% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 25.3% 50.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arda Kardzhali's form might have worsened.
  • CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.38
    (3.8)
    3.66
    (3.6)
    1.65
    (1.88)
    6.6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: CSKA Sofia will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): CSKA Sofia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.
    • Arda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • CSKA Sofia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • CSKA Sofia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, CSKA Sofia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Arda: Krachunov P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in CSKA Sofia: Lokilo J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in CSKA Sofia: Phaeton M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:29. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia were as follows:
    26.02.2025 CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali 2:1
    16.02.2025 CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali 2:0
    24.08.2024 Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia 2:1
    21.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia 2:3
    28.02.2024 CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali 1:0
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Latest results of CSKA Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia11005:053
    2Ludogorets11005:053
    3Lok. Plovdiv11001:013
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia11001:013
    5Slavia Sofia10102:201
    6Botev Vratsa10102:201
    7Botev Plovdiv10101:101
    8Cherno More10101:101
    9CSKA Sofia10101:101
    10Lok. Sofia10101:101
    11Beroe10100:001
    12Spartak Varna10100:001
    13Dobrudzha10010:1-10
    14Arda10010:1-10
    15Montana10010:5-50
    16Septemvri Sofia10010:5-50

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