Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia
Result
1:0
18/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 5
  • Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
14
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
57
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1616
Fouls
1415

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Kovachev S. 🟨,
  • 32', Martino A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Kabov A. , Shinyashiki A. ,
  • 58', Kovachev S. , Patrick Luan ,
  • 58', Dodaj K. , Brahimi M. ,
  • 58', Turitsov I. , Pastor ,
  • 67', Jordao B. , Iliev I. ,
  • 68', Yusein S. , Vutov A. ,
  • 76', Karagaren B. , Tilev I. ,
  • 87', Idowu D. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Eboa F. , Vutov A. (A),
  • 90+1', Brahimi M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3zcjb985

Chances of winning


Arda Kardzhali
23.8%
Draw
29.3%
CSKA Sofia
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.7% 25.3% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20% 26.2% 55.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4
    (4.53)
    3.15
    (3.69)
    1.98
    (1.73)
    7.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 2.
    • Arda is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • CSKA Sofia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, CSKA Sofia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arda won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia 2:1
    26.02.2025 CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali 2:1
    16.02.2025 CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali 2:0
    24.08.2024 Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia 2:1
    21.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia 2:3
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Latest results of CSKA Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSKA 1948 Sofia1071218:9922
    2Levski Sofia962115:51020
    3Lok. Plovdiv1054110:9119
    4Ludogorets853014:31118
    5Cherno More953114:5918
    6Lok. Sofia92529:7211
    7Botev Vratsa92527:7011
    8Montana93247:13-611
    9Spartak Varna924310:10010
    10Beroe82429:11-210
    11Arda92349:10-19
    12CSKA Sofia91538:9-18
    13Dobrudzha92168:14-67
    14Botev Plovdiv92169:16-77
    15Slavia Sofia91359:16-76
    16Septemvri Sofia92079:21-126

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