Result
2:1 penalties
31/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Parva liga - Conference League - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Serbia | SportKlub 5 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Total shots |
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7 | 22 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
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6 | 2 |
Total shots |
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7 | 22 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 10 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 11 |
Offsides |
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5 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 19 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 34 |
Fouls |
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13 | 10 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Yordanov T. 🟨,
- 26', Tsonev B. 🟨,
- 30', Dellova L. 🟨,
- 42', Sanyang S. 🟨,
- 43', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Vion T. ⚽,
- 64', Carreazo M. ↓, Bytyqi Z. ↑,
- 65', Gospodinov A. 🟨,
- 68', Tilev I. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
- 70', Kotev L. 🟨,
- 71', Offor C. 🟨,
- 80', Tsonev B. ↓, Yusein S. ↑,
- 82', Iliev I. ↓, Cooper L. ↑,
- 89', Shopov S. ↓, Panayotov P. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Shinyashiki A. ⚽, Offor C. (A),
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Eboa F. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
- 97', Skarsem O. ↓, Tasev I. ↑,
- 101', Kovachev S. ↓, Statev S. ↑,
- 106', Lapena A. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski G. B. ↑,
- 106', Vion T. ↓, Turitsov I. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, Offor C. (Pen),
- 1, Pittas I. (Pen),
- 2, Yusein S. (Pen),
- 2, Sanyang S. (Pen),
- 3, Kotev L. (Pen),
- 3, Eto'o J. (Pen),
- 4, Idowu D. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali 17.2% | Draw 25.5% | CSKA Sofia 57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arda Kardzhali's form might have worsened.CSKA Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CSKA Sofia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CSKA Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.38 ↑ (3.8) |
3.66 ↑ (3.6) |
1.65 ↓ (1.88) |
6.6% (7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia?
Users Predictions:
CSKA Sofia will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): CSKA Sofia will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.
- Arda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- CSKA Sofia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- CSKA Sofia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, CSKA Sofia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Arda: Krachunov P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in CSKA Sofia: Lokilo J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in CSKA Sofia: Phaeton M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:29. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against CSKA Sofia?
Arda Kardzhali has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Sofia won against Arda Kardzhali?
CSKA Sofia has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - CSKA Sofia were as follows:
26.02.2025
CSKA Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
2:1
16.02.2025
CSKA Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
2:0
24.08.2024
Arda Kardzhali
-
CSKA Sofia
2:1
21.04.2024
Arda Kardzhali
-
CSKA Sofia
2:3
28.02.2024
CSKA Sofia
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:0
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | Ludogorets | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
3 | Lok. Plovdiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Slavia Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Botev Vratsa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Botev Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Cherno More | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Lok. Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Beroe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Spartak Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Dobrudzha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Arda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Montana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
16 | Septemvri Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )
Parva liga (Relegation Group: )