Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Croatia | SportKlub 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Karagaren B. ⚽, Gustavo Cascardo (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Dimitrov B. ⚽,
- 40', Kabov A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kabov A. ↓, Kovachev S. ↑,
- 53', Azevedo T. 🟨,
- 57', Gustavo Cascardo 🟨,
- 59', Patrick Luan ↓, Samake W. ↑,
- 59', Yusein S. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
- 68', Huseynov C. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
- 72', Azevedo T. ↓, Kokonov I. ↑,
- 82', Dimitrov B. 🟨,
- 89', Kovachev S. 🟨,
- 89', Balde U. ↓, Sakor V. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Samake W. ⚽, Kovachev S. (A),
- 90+2', Karagaren B. ↓, Krachunov P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali 66.8% | Draw 22.9% | Montana 10.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+1%)
Arda Kardzhali - Montana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↓ (1.42) |
4.07 ↑ (3.74) |
8.83 ↑ (7.55) |
7.7% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Montana?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Montana will win (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3.
- Arda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Montana is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Arda is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Montana?
Arda Kardzhali has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montana won against Arda Kardzhali?
Montana has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Montana were as follows:
24.10.2025
Montana
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:1
02.07.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Montana
2:0
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 62:21 | 41 | 66 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 57:19 | 38 | 60 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia ✔ | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 42:22 | 20 | 55 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 45:31 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Lok. Plovdiv ✔ | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 45 |
| 6 | Cherno More ✔ | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 33:22 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Arda | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32:26 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:31 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Lok. Sofia | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 37 |
| 10 | Botev Plovdiv | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Botev Vratsa | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:50 | -26 | 23 |
| 14 | Beroe ✔ | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 22 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:57 | -34 | 22 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Lok. Plovdiv is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Cherno More is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )