Ballymena United vs Ards – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
04/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NORTHERN IRELAND: Irish Cup - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Newell L. ,
  • 23', 0 - 2, Steele A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 78', 1 - 2, Devine E. ,

Chances of winning


Ballymena United
67.3%
Draw
19.5%
Ards
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 21.4% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 18.7% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ballymena United's performance.
  • Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ards might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballymena United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ards could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ballymena United - Ards Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.56)
    4.72
    (4.28)
    6.95
    (4.58)
    8.7%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ballymena United - Ards were as follows:
    05.11.2024 Ballymena United - Ards 1:0
    05.07.2024 Ballymena United - Ards 3:0
    14.09.2022 Ards - Ballymena United 2:4
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Latest results of Ards
    31.12.2024 Ards - Dundela 1:3
    26.12.2024 Bangor - Ards 0:0
    14.12.2024 Ards - Newry City 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1ByeLoughgall
    2WakehurstKnockbreda2 : 4
    3BallinamallardBye
    4ByeInstitute
    5CliftonvilleBye
    6ByeDundela
    7GlenavonBye
    8ByeNewington
    9PortadownBye
    10ByeAnnagh
    11DungannonBye
    12ByeArds
    13NewbuildingsMoyola1 : 2
    14ByeH&W Welders
    15Comber RecHanover3 : 1
    16BallymacashWillowbank4 : 0
    17Strabane AthleticRathfriland2 : 1
    18ByeGlentoran
    19ArmaghBye
    20Newry CityDrumaness1 : 2
    21Lisburn DistilleryFinaghy4 : 2
    22ByeWarrenpoint
    23BallymenaBye
    24ByeLarne
    25LimavadyBye
    26Lisburn RangersDergview5 : 4
    27LinfieldBye
    28ByeBangor FC
    29Carrick RangersBye
    30ByeQueens Univ.
    31ColeraineBye
    32ByeCrusaders

    1/16-finals
    1LoughgallKnockbreda2 : 0
    2BallinamallardInstitute0 : 3
    3CliftonvilleDundela3 : 0
    4GlenavonNewington4 : 2
    5PortadownAnnagh4 : 2
    6DungannonArds3 : 0
    7MoyolaH&W Welders2 : 4
    8Comber RecBallymacash0 : 3
    9Strabane AthleticGlentoran0 : 4
    10ArmaghDrumaness1 : 4
    11Lisburn DistilleryWarrenpoint3 : 4
    12BallymenaLarne1 : 2
    13LimavadyLisburn Rangers4 : 1
    14LinfieldBangor FC1 : 0
    15Carrick RangersQueens Univ.5 : 1
    16ColeraineCrusaders4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1LoughgallInstitute2 : 1
    2CliftonvilleGlenavon2 : 1
    3PortadownDungannon1 : 2
    4H&W WeldersBallymacash3 : 0
    5GlentoranDrumaness5 : 0
    6WarrenpointLarne0 : 2
    7LimavadyLinfield1 : 0
    8Carrick RangersColeraine1 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1LoughgallCliftonville0 : 3
    2DungannonH&W Welders3 : 0
    3GlentoranLarne1 : 2
    4LimavadyColeraine0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1CliftonvilleDungannon
    2LarneColeraine