Result
0:4
28/04/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Indosiar, Vidio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Yama H. 🟨,
- 40', Firmansyah T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 49', 0 - 1, Rivera F. ⚽, Perovic M. (A),
- 53', Ardiansyah R. 🟨,
- 60', Ardiansyah R. ↓, Tata M. ↑,
- 60', Firmansyah T. ↓, Baihaqi M. ↑,
- 60', Perovic M. ↓, Bruno Paraiba ↑,
- 67', Betinho 🟨,
- 68', Freitas Gali ↓, Bruno ↑,
- 76', Bruno (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', 0 - 2, Jefferson ⚽,
- 77', Dalberto ↓, Valdeci ↑,
- 77', Farisi A. ↓, Guntara L. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 3, Rivera F. ⚽, Tata M. (A),
- 86', 0 - 4, Tata M. ⚽, Rivera F. (A),
- 90+2', Fikri A. ↓, Mardiyanto D. ↑,
- 90+2', Gustavo Franca ↓, Hariono J. ↑,
- 90+2', Gabriel Silva ↓, Rifai M. ↑,
- 90+2', Rivera F. ↓, Fernando O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arema
41.1% | Draw
28.1% | Persebaya Surabaya
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arema's form might have worsened.Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persebaya Surabaya's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persebaya Surabaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arema - Persebaya Surabaya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.95) |
3.27 ↓
(3.42) |
2.97 ↓
(3.68) |
9.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arema - Persebaya Surabaya?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Persebaya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arema won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arema won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arema won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arema won against Persebaya Surabaya?
Arema has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Persebaya Surabaya won against Arema?
Persebaya Surabaya has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arema - Persebaya Surabaya were as follows:
22.11.2025
Persebaya Surabaya
-
Arema
1:1
28.04.2025
Arema
-
Persebaya Surabaya
1:1
07.12.2024
Persebaya Surabaya
-
Arema
3:2
27.03.2024
Arema
-
Persebaya Surabaya
0:1
23.09.2023
Persebaya Surabaya
-
Arema
3:1
Latest results of Persebaya Surabaya
