Result
0:2
01/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Ruiz O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 0 - 2, Romero A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arenas Armilla
36.3% | Draw
32% | Atlético Porcuna
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenas Armilla's form might have worsened.Atlético Porcuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Porcuna's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenas Armilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Porcuna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arenas Armilla - Atlético Porcuna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.02) |
3.18 ↑
(3) |
3.21 ↓
(3.5) |
-1.8%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- Recent performances by Arenas Armilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Porcuna is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arenas Armilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arenas Armilla is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenas Armilla won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arenas Armilla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arenas Armilla won against Atlético Porcuna?
Arenas Armilla has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Porcuna won against Arenas Armilla?
Atlético Porcuna has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arenas Armilla - Atlético Porcuna were as follows:
21.09.2025
Atlético Porcuna
-
Arenas Armilla
0:1
06.04.2025
Atlético Porcuna
-
Arenas Armilla
1:1
24.11.2024
Arenas Armilla
-
Atlético Porcuna
1:2
23.04.2023
Atlético Porcuna
-
Arenas Armilla
0:2
17.12.2022
Arenas Armilla
-
Atlético Porcuna
3:1
Latest results of Arenas Armilla
Latest results of Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 42:20 | 22 | 65 |
| 2 | Motril | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 61 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 36:24 | 12 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Torredonjimeno | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 50 |
| 6 | Churriana de la Vega | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 30:40 | -10 | 49 |
| 7 | Marbelli | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 34:28 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Huetor Vega | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 42 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Martos | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:44 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Mancha | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Huetor Tajar | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:43 | -6 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 22:44 | -22 | 30 |
| 18 | El Palo | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 28:51 | -23 | 27 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
