Aretxabaleta vs San Ignacio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
09/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Aretxabaleta
43.8%
Draw
29.6%
San Ignacio
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 27.5% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 27% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.
  • San Ignacio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Ignacio's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Ignacio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.77)
    3.1
    (3.3)
    3.44
    (4.29)
    9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • Aretxabaleta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • San Ignacio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • San Ignacio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Aretxabaleta could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio were as follows:
    16.02.2025 San Ignacio - Aretxabaleta 4:1
    06.10.2024 Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio 1:0
    Latest results of Aretxabaleta
    31.10.2025 Derio - Aretxabaleta 1:0
    26.10.2025 Aretxabaleta - Touring KE 1:1
    05.10.2025 Leioa - Aretxabaleta 2:4
    27.09.2025 Aretxabaleta - Eibar C 4:0
    Latest results of San Ignacio
    02.11.2025 San Ignacio - Zamudio 2:0
    26.10.2025 Santurtzi - San Ignacio 1:0
    11.10.2025 Pasaia - San Ignacio 1:1
    27.09.2025 Deusto - San Ignacio 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete24193252:173560
    2Leioa24143735:231245
    3Lagun Onak24132936:221441
    4Touring KE24118531:201141
    5Aurrera de Vitoria24124831:30140
    6San Ignacio24115824:18638
    7Derio24114937:29837
    8Alaves C24106838:271136
    9UD Aretxabaleta24105941:40135
    10Durango2489724:21333
    11Real Sociedad C241031126:28-233
    12Santurtzi2469924:32-827
    13Eibar C24751228:38-1026
    14Zamudio24741327:39-1225
    15Pasaia24661216:30-1424
    16Anorga24731423:43-2024
    17Zarautz KE24631520:43-2321
    18SD Deusto24461417:30-1318

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation