Result
4:1
23/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 37
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
- 30', Welbeck N. 🟨,
- 38', Eklu S. M. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Eklu S. M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 67', 2 - 1, Pattarello E. ⚽,
- 69', Magnaghi S. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Pattarello E. ⚽,
- 70', Pattarello E. 🟨,
- 76', Dezi J. ↓, Settembrini A. ↑,
- 76', Eklu S. M. ↓, Chierico L. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
- 82', Selvini A. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
- 82', Welbeck N. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
- 83', Pattarello E. ↓, Fiore S. ↑,
- 83', Tavernelli C. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
- 88', Badje I. 🟨,
- 89', Ravasio M. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arezzo
50.3% | Draw
26.5% | Lucchese
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Arezzo - Lucchese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.82) |
3.47 ↑
(3.25) |
3.98 ↓
(4.37) |
8.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arezzo - Lucchese?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Lucchese (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 1.
- Recent matches Arezzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lucchese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lucchese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Arezzo is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lucchese: Gucher R.
(Yellow Cards)
Tumbarello G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lucchese: Catanese G.
(Inactive)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:17 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Arezzo won against Lucchese?
Arezzo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against Arezzo?
Lucchese has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Lucchese were as follows:
09.12.2024
Lucchese
-
Arezzo
0:1
08.04.2024
Lucchese
-
Arezzo
1:1
02.12.2023
Arezzo
-
Lucchese
1:1
03.10.2023
Arezzo
-
Lucchese
3:4
Latest results of Lucchese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21:7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 24 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Ternana | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Guidonia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | Forli | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Campobasso | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Carpi | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Pineto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Juventus U23 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Pianese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Gubbio | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Livorno | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Torres | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Bra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Perugia | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
