Result
4:1
23/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 37
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
- 30', Welbeck N. 🟨,
- 38', Eklu S. M. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Eklu S. M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 67', 2 - 1, Pattarello E. ⚽,
- 69', Magnaghi S. ↓, Badje I. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Pattarello E. ⚽,
- 70', Pattarello E. 🟨,
- 76', Dezi J. ↓, Settembrini A. ↑,
- 76', Eklu S. M. ↓, Chierico L. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
- 82', Selvini A. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,
- 82', Welbeck N. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
- 83', Pattarello E. ↓, Fiore S. ↑,
- 83', Tavernelli C. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
- 88', Badje I. 🟨,
- 89', Ravasio M. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arezzo
50.3% | Draw
26.5% | Lucchese
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Arezzo - Lucchese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.82) |
3.47 ↑
(3.25) |
3.98 ↓
(4.37) |
8.6%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arezzo - Lucchese?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Lucchese (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 1.
- Recent matches Arezzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lucchese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Lucchese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Arezzo is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lucchese: Gucher R.
(Yellow Cards)
Tumbarello G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lucchese: Catanese G.
(Inactive)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:17 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Arezzo won against Lucchese?
Arezzo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against Arezzo?
Lucchese has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arezzo - Lucchese were as follows:
09.12.2024
Lucchese
-
Arezzo
0:1
08.04.2024
Lucchese
-
Arezzo
1:1
02.12.2023
Arezzo
-
Lucchese
1:1
03.10.2023
Arezzo
-
Lucchese
3:4
Latest results of Lucchese
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
