Villa Mitre vs Argentino Monte Maíz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
152
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
70
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
01
Total shots
152
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
91
Corner Kicks
70
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Correa M. 🟨,
  • 25', Lentini R. 🟨,
  • 28', Correa M. 🟨,
  • 29', Amaya I. 🟨,
  • 30', Sarmiento G. 🟨,
  • 38', Aguero F. , Molini L. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Manchafico V. (Pen),
  • 45', Barbero M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Amaya I. , Moreyra P. ,
  • 46', Oballes P. , Bassani J. ,
  • 46', Sarmiento G. , Larrea L. ,
  • 66', Lentini R. , Tejada J. ,
  • 67', Perez T. , Mujica P. ,
  • 67', Algozino L. , Gonzalez E. ,
  • 75', Cerato L. , Peralta M. ,
  • 75', Iriarte L. , De Hoyos D. ,
  • 83', Larrea L. , Lasserre R. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Villa Mitre
55.2%
Draw
29.3%
Argentino Monte Maíz
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 29.7% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.9% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.
  • Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino Monte Maíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Mitre that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino Monte Maíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (2.07)
    3.1
    (3.1)
    5.86
    (3.55)
    10.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Villa Mitre will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Villa Mitre will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Villa Mitre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Argentino MM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Villa Mitre is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz 2:1
    27.10.2024 Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre 2:1
    01.09.2024 Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre 3:0
    11.09.2022 Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre 1:1
    Latest results of Villa Mitre
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )