Villa Mitre vs Argentino Monte Maíz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
152
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
70
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
01
Total shots
152
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
91
Corner Kicks
70
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Correa M. 🟨,
  • 25', Lentini R. 🟨,
  • 28', Correa M. 🟨,
  • 29', Amaya I. 🟨,
  • 30', Sarmiento G. 🟨,
  • 38', Aguero F. , Molini L. ,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Manchafico V. (Pen),
  • 45', Barbero M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Amaya I. , Moreyra P. ,
  • 46', Oballes P. , Bassani J. ,
  • 46', Sarmiento G. , Larrea L. ,
  • 66', Lentini R. , Tejada J. ,
  • 67', Perez T. , Mujica P. ,
  • 67', Algozino L. , Gonzalez E. ,
  • 75', Cerato L. , Peralta M. ,
  • 75', Iriarte L. , De Hoyos D. ,
  • 83', Larrea L. , Lasserre R. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Villa Mitre
55.2%
Draw
29.3%
Argentino Monte Maíz
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 29.7% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.9% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.
  • Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino Monte Maíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Mitre that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino Monte Maíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (2.07)
    3.1
    (3.1)
    5.86
    (3.55)
    10.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Villa Mitre will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villa Mitre will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Villa Mitre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Argentino MM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Villa Mitre is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz 2:1
    27.10.2024 Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre 2:1
    01.09.2024 Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre 3:0
    11.09.2022 Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre 1:1
    Latest results of Villa Mitre
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig660011:4718
    2Defensores Belgrano VR632111:7411
    3Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    49 de Julio Rafaela631211:8310
    5Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    6Chivilcoy63125:5010
    7El Linqueno62135:9-47
    8Sportivo Las Parejas61234:7-35
    9Atletico Escobar61146:12-64
    10Gimnasia E.R60154:10-61


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana53117:4310
    2Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    3San Martin Formosa52215:508
    4Boca Unidos52129:817
    5Defensores de Vilelas62139:907
    6Tucuman Central52125:507
    7Sol de America52124:407
    8Sarmiento Resistencia60516:8-25
    9Sarmiento de La Banda50322:5-33


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti632110:7311
    2Biblioteca Atenas53117:3410
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    5Costa Brava71426:517
    6Argentino MM51312:3-16
    7Deportivo Rincon51226:7-15
    8San Martin Mendoza51221:4-35
    9Fundacion Amigos50234:10-62


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca55007:0715
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Alvarado62314:319
    5Santamarina61416:427
    6Germinal51313:306
    7Villa Mitre51223:305
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

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