Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (181/272) | 82% (444/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (181/272) | 82% (444/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (29/73) | 56% (43/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (52/97) | 62% (83/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 33% (11/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Troilo M. (A),
- 40', Lescano A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Menossi L. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Lescano A. ⚽, Molina T. (A),
- 58', Troilo M. ↓, Meriano N. ↑,
- 60', Grillo F. 🟨,
- 64', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 65', Viveros E. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 75', Compagnucci G. ↓, Sanchez U. ↑,
- 75', Quignon F. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
- 75', Oroz N. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 77', Fattori F. 🟨,
- 83', Jara F. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 83', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cardozo J. ↑,
- 88', Meriano N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belgrano
28.6% | Draw
31.5% | Argentinos Juniors
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano's form might have worsened.Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(2.79) |
3.01 ↓
(3.08) |
2.36 ↓
(2.67) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Argentinos Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 3.
- Recent matches Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Argentinos Juniors is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Argentinos Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A.
(Injury)
Espinola J.
(Inactive)
Lopez E.
(Muscle Injury)
Lucco J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ostchega T.
(Finger Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Prieto S.
(Inactive)
Romero M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sanchez L.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Argentinos Juniors?
Belgrano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Argentinos Juniors won against Belgrano?
Argentinos Juniors has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors were as follows:
01.06.2024
Belgrano
-
Argentinos Juniors
1:0
18.02.2023
Argentinos Juniors
-
Belgrano
3:0
Latest results of Belgrano
Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
