Argentinos Juniors vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.790.12
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
92
Passes
84% (352/420)60% (109/183)
Yellow cards
35
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.790.12
xG on target (xGOT)
3.040.08
Total shots
242
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
100
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
131
Shots outside the box
111
Hit the woodwork
21
Headed goals
10
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
258
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free kicks
218
Passes
84% (352/420)60% (109/183)
Long passes
57% (26/46)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
75% (83/111)43% (22/51)
Crosses
25% (7/28)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.12
Throw ins
2122
Fouls
821
Tackles
74% (14/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6754
Clearances
2229
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
19
xGOT faced
0.083.04
Goals prevented
0.082.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 27', Ramirez T. 🟨,
  • 33', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
  • 39', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cabrera J. M. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
  • 52', Renteria J. 🟨,
  • 57', Marabel J. ↓, Villalba C. ↑,
  • 57', Renteria J. ↓, Marquez B. ↑,
  • 60', Insaurralde J. 🟥,
  • 62', Marquez B. 🟨,
  • 65', Prieto S. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
  • 73', Oroz N. ↓, Ryouga K. ↑,
  • 75', Zabala C. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
  • 84', Diego Churin ↓, Delgado U. ↑,
  • 84', Alvarez F. ↓, Jainikoski F. ↑,
  • 90+4', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 0, Molina T. ⚽, Lozano L. (A),
  • 90+9', Molina T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentinos Juniors
68.7%		Draw
22%		Sarmiento de Junín
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 24.4% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
    •

    Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.38 ↓
    (1.51)    		 4.31 ↑
    (3.87)    		 10.01 ↑
    (7.19)    		 5.9%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Argentinos Juniors (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.25 - Argentinos Juniors (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentinos Juniors will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1.
    • Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Argentinos Juniors is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Cardozo J. (Foot Injury) Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Renteria J. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    08.08.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    08.04.2023 Sarmiento de Junín - Argentinos Juniors 2:0
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    21.01.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors 1:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Argentinos Juniors 0:2 ✺
    16.11.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Argentinos Juniors 1:2 ✺
    10.11.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    15.11.2025 San Lorenzo - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba 2:1 ✺
    03.11.2025 Platense - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Rosario Central 0:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - Vélez Sársfield 0:2 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    2Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy