Argentinos Juniors vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires).

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 3
Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Italy	Sport Italia
Serbia	Arena Sport

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.54	0.23
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Goal Attempts
12	7
Shots on Goal
9	3
Shots off Goal
3	4
Free Kicks
28	15
Corner Kicks
3	5
Offsides
3	1
Throw-ins
23	16
Goalkeeper Saves
3	8
Fouls
12	27
Yellow Cards
3	6
Total Passes
321	403
Completed Passes
245	305
Attacks
112	108
Dangerous Attacks
46	37
Clearances Completed
8	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Vega R. 🟨,
35', Aliendro R. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Lescano A. ⚽, Gamarra A. (A),
45', Miguel Borja 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Villagra R. 🟨,
55', Aliendro R. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
56', Veron G. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
65', Villagra R. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
65', Casco M. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
70', Viveros E. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
73', Galvan J. 🟨,
75', Solari P. 🟨,
75', Heredia L. 🟨,
83', Barco E. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
84', Oroz N. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
85', Echeverri C. 🟨,
90+3', Diaz E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Argentinos Juniors
22.3%

Draw
27.3%

River Plate
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

19.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

19.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentinos Juniors's form might have worsened.

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentinos Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Argentinos Juniors - River Plate Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (2.17)	3.46 ↓ (4.4)	1.88 ↓ (2.17)	5.7% (14.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - River Plate?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). River Plate will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 44.1% – 94.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 1.
Argentinos Juniors is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Argentinos Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match River Plate is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

How many head-to-head matches has Argentinos Juniors won against River Plate?

Argentinos Juniors has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Argentinos Juniors?

River Plate has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - River Plate were as follows:

28.01.2024 River Plate - Argentinos Juniors 1:1

20.08.2023 Argentinos Juniors - River Plate 3:2

12.02.2023 River Plate - Argentinos Juniors 2:1

02.10.2022 Argentinos Juniors - River Plate 0:3

Latest results of Argentinos Juniors

20.05.2024 Racing - Argentinos Juniors 3:0 ✺

14.05.2024 Corinthians - Argentinos Juniors 4:0 ✺

10.05.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central 3:2 ✺

07.05.2024 Racing Montevideo - Argentinos Juniors 2:1 ✺

28.04.2024 Argentinos Juniors - Vélez Sársfield 0:1 ✺

Latest results of River Plate

21.05.2024 Temperley - River Plate 2:1 ✺

18.05.2024 River Plate - Belgrano 3:0 ✺

11.05.2024 River Plate - Central Córdoba de Rosario 3:0 ✺

21.04.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:3 ✺

15.04.2024 Instituto Córdoba - River Plate 1:3 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Clausura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boca Juniors	11	4	5	2	18:8	10	17
2	Union de Santa Fe	11	4	5	2	15:10	5	17
3	Barracas Central	11	4	5	2	13:11	2	17
4	Estudiantes L.P	11	5	2	4	12:12	0	17
5	Defensa y Justicia	11	4	4	3	12:10	2	16
6	Tigre	11	4	4	3	10:8	2	16
7	Huracan	11	4	4	3	6:8	-2	16
8	Argentinos Jrs	11	4	3	4	12:8	4	15
9	Central Cordoba	11	3	6	2	12:9	3	15
10	Belgrano	11	3	5	3	10:8	2	14
11	Banfield	11	4	2	5	9:14	-5	14
12	Racing Club	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12
13	Ind. Rivadavia	11	2	5	4	10:12	-2	11
14	Newells Old Boys	11	2	4	5	9:17	-8	10
15	Aldosivi	11	1	3	7	3:14	-11	6

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dep. Riestra	11	7	2	2	16:8	8	23
2	Velez Sarsfield	11	6	4	1	16:7	9	22
3	Lanus	11	6	2	3	11:9	2	20
4	River Plate	11	5	3	3	18:11	7	18
5	Rosario Central	10	4	6	0	11:5	6	18
6	San Lorenzo	11	4	4	3	9:8	1	16
7	Atl. Tucuman	11	4	3	4	13:11	2	15
8	Gimnasia L.P	11	4	1	6	7:12	-5	13
9	Sarmiento Junin	10	3	3	4	8:11	-3	12
10	Instituto	11	2	6	3	5:11	-6	12
11	San Martin S.J	11	2	5	4	8:11	-3	11
12	Talleres Cordoba	11	2	5	4	5:9	-4	11
13	Platense	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10
14	Godoy Cruz	11	1	6	4	9:14	-5	9
15	Independiente	10	0	6	4	6:10	-4	6

Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)