Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo
Result
1:2 penalties
19/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.32
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
81% (459/565)66% (155/234)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.76
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
81% (459/565)66% (155/234)
Long passes
58% (48/83)28% (16/58)
Passes in final third
65% (93/142)53% (50/94)
Crosses
21% (6/29)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.34
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
1518
Tackles
71% (12/17)50% (11/22)
Duels won
6068
Clearances
2164
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.760.70
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Herrera E. 🟨,
  • 42', Vega R. 🟨,
  • 43', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romana J. , Herrera D. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Vombergar A. , Herrera E. (A),
  • 73', Herrera J. , Sosa I. ,
  • 76', Cerutti E. 🟨,
  • 77', Cerutti E. , Reali M. ,
  • 77', Rodriguez A. , Ardaiz J. ,
  • 77', Vega R. , Prieto S. ,
  • 81', Braida M. , Cuello A. ,
  • 83', Oroz N. , Romero M. ,
  • 85', Muniain I. , Dominguez N. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Molina T. ,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Lozano L. (Pen),
  • 1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
  • 2, Sosa I. (Pen),
  • 2, Cuello A. (Pen),
  • 3, Prieto S. (Pen),
  • 3, Baez E. (Pen),
  • 4, Ardaiz J. (Pen),
  • 4, Herrera E. (Pen),
  • 5, Rodriguez D. (Pen),
  • 5, Dominguez N. (Pen),
  • 6, Molina T. (Pen),
  • 6, Tripichio N. (Pen),
  • 7, Lescano A. (Pen),
  • 7, Reali M. (Pen),
  • 8, Romero M. (Pen),
  • 8, Hernandez G. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentinos Juniors
54.1%
Draw
30.9%
San Lorenzo
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 29.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.7% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.03)
    3.06
    (3.17)
    6.26
    (4.06)
    5.9%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3.
    • Argentinos Juniors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Argentinos Juniors is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Argentinos Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo 1:0
    22.07.2023 San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors 0:2
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)