Result
1:2 penalties
19/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Max, TNT Sports |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Hong-kong | HOY TV |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 0.32 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
81% (459/565) | 66% (155/234) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 0.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.70 | 0.76 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
81% (459/565) | 66% (155/234) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (48/83) | 28% (16/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (93/142) | 53% (50/94) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (6/29) | 40% (2/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.04 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (12/17) | 50% (11/22) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 68 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 64 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.76 | 0.70 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.24 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Herrera E. 🟨,
- 42', Vega R. 🟨,
- 43', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 1, Vombergar A. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
- 73', Herrera J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 76', Cerutti E. 🟨,
- 77', Cerutti E. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
- 77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
- 77', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
- 81', Braida M. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
- 83', Oroz N. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
- 85', Muniain I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Molina T. ⚽,
- Penalties (7 - 8)
- 1, Lozano L. (Pen),
- 1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
- 2, Sosa I. (Pen),
- 2, Cuello A. (Pen),
- 3, Prieto S. (Pen),
- 3, Baez E. (Pen),
- 4, Ardaiz J. (Pen),
- 4, Herrera E. (Pen),
- 5, Rodriguez D. (Pen),
- 5, Dominguez N. (Pen),
- 6, Molina T. (Pen),
- 6, Tripichio N. (Pen),
- 7, Lescano A. (Pen),
- 7, Reali M. (Pen),
- 8, Romero M. (Pen),
- 8, Hernandez G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Argentinos Juniors 54.1% | Draw 30.9% | San Lorenzo 15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↓ (2.03) |
3.06 ↓ (3.17) |
6.26 ↑ (4.06) |
5.9% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Argentinos Juniors will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3.
- Argentinos Juniors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Argentinos Juniors is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Argentinos Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Argentinos Juniors won against San Lorenzo?
Argentinos Juniors has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Argentinos Juniors?
San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:
09.12.2024
Argentinos Juniors
-
San Lorenzo
1:0
22.07.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Argentinos Juniors
0:2
Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)