Result
1:2 penalties
19/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Max, TNT Sports |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (459/565) | 66% (155/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (459/565) | 66% (155/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (48/83) | 28% (16/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (93/142) | 53% (50/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 64 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Herrera E. 🟨,
- 42', Vega R. 🟨,
- 43', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 1, Vombergar A. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
- 73', Herrera J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 76', Cerutti E. 🟨,
- 77', Cerutti E. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
- 77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
- 77', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
- 81', Braida M. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
- 83', Oroz N. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
- 85', Muniain I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Molina T. ⚽,
- Penalties (7 - 8)
- 1, Lozano L. (Pen),
- 1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
- 2, Sosa I. (Pen),
- 2, Cuello A. (Pen),
- 3, Prieto S. (Pen),
- 3, Baez E. (Pen),
- 4, Ardaiz J. (Pen),
- 4, Herrera E. (Pen),
- 5, Rodriguez D. (Pen),
- 5, Dominguez N. (Pen),
- 6, Molina T. (Pen),
- 6, Tripichio N. (Pen),
- 7, Lescano A. (Pen),
- 7, Reali M. (Pen),
- 8, Romero M. (Pen),
- 8, Hernandez G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Argentinos Juniors
54.1% | Draw
30.9% | San Lorenzo
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.03) |
3.06 ↓
(3.17) |
6.26 ↑
(4.06) |
5.9%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Argentinos Juniors will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3.
- Argentinos Juniors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Argentinos Juniors is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Argentinos Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Argentinos Juniors won against San Lorenzo?
Argentinos Juniors has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Argentinos Juniors?
San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:
09.12.2024
Argentinos Juniors
-
San Lorenzo
1:0
22.07.2023
San Lorenzo
-
Argentinos Juniors
0:2
Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Belgrano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Lanus | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
