Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires).

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Max, TNT Sports
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.50	0.32
Ball Possession
71%	29%
Total shots
10	5
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	0
Passes
81% (459/565)	66% (155/234)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50	0.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	0.76
Total shots
10	5
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	0
Touches in opposition box
17	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
18	15
Passes
81% (459/565)	66% (155/234)
Long passes
58% (48/83)	28% (16/58)
Passes in final third
65% (93/142)	53% (50/94)
Crosses
21% (6/29)	40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	0.34
Throw-ins
26	14
Fouls
15	18
Tackles
71% (12/17)	50% (11/22)
Duels won
60	68
Clearances
21	64
Interceptions
6	15
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.76	0.70
Goals prevented
-0.24	-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Herrera E. 🟨,
42', Vega R. 🟨,
43', Herrera J. 🟨,
45+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Vombergar A. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
73', Herrera J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
76', Cerutti E. 🟨,
77', Cerutti E. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
77', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
81', Braida M. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
83', Oroz N. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
85', Muniain I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Molina T. ⚽,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, Lozano L. (Pen),
1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
2, Sosa I. (Pen),
2, Cuello A. (Pen),
3, Prieto S. (Pen),
3, Baez E. (Pen),
4, Ardaiz J. (Pen),
4, Herrera E. (Pen),
5, Rodriguez D. (Pen),
5, Dominguez N. (Pen),
6, Molina T. (Pen),
6, Tripichio N. (Pen),
7, Lescano A. (Pen),
7, Reali M. (Pen),
8, Romero M. (Pen),
8, Hernandez G. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Argentinos Juniors
54.1%

Draw
30.9%

San Lorenzo
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

29.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.03)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	6.26 ↑ (4.06)	5.9% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - San Lorenzo (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Argentinos Juniors (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentinos Juniors will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 8 - 88.9%). San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3.
Argentinos Juniors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of home games.
In this match, Argentinos Juniors is considered a favorite.
We predict that Argentinos Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Argentinos Juniors won against San Lorenzo?

Argentinos Juniors has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Argentinos Juniors?

San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:

09.12.2024 Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo 1:0

22.07.2023 San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors 0:2

Latest results of Argentinos Juniors

11.05.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba 3:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 4:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors 1:1 ✺

22.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central 3:0 ✺

16.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Central Norte 3:0 ✺

Latest results of San Lorenzo

10.05.2025 San Lorenzo - Tigre 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán 1:0 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P	13	7	3	3	16:7	9	24
2	Velez Sarsfield	12	6	4	2	14:9	5	22
3	Boca Juniors	13	5	6	2	15:8	7	21
4	Union de Santa Fe	13	5	4	4	19:14	5	19
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	4	7	1	15:10	5	19
6	Lanus	12	5	4	3	17:14	3	19
7	Independiente	13	4	6	3	19:16	3	18
8	Talleres Cordoba	12	5	3	4	12:11	1	18
9	San Lorenzo	13	4	6	3	12:12	0	18
10	Instituto	13	5	2	6	14:15	-1	17
11	Platense	13	3	7	3	7:8	-1	16
12	Gimnasia Mendoza	13	3	4	6	10:16	-6	13
13	Central Cordoba	12	3	3	6	6:15	-9	12
14	Newells Old Boys	13	2	4	7	10:23	-13	10
15	Dep. Riestra	13	0	7	6	3:10	-7	7

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia ✔	13	9	2	2	23:13	10	29
2	River Plate	13	8	2	3	19:9	10	26
3	Argentinos Jrs	13	6	5	2	14:10	4	23
4	Belgrano	13	6	4	3	13:12	1	22
5	Rosario Central	13	6	3	4	15:13	2	21
6	Huracan	13	5	5	3	15:10	5	20
7	Barracas Central	13	5	4	4	13:12	1	19
8	Tigre	13	4	6	3	16:12	4	18
9	Racing Club	13	5	3	5	15:13	2	18
10	Sarmiento Junin	12	5	1	6	10:12	-2	16
11	Gimnasia L.P	12	4	2	6	13:18	-5	14
12	Banfield	12	4	1	7	14:16	-2	13
13	Atl. Tucuman	13	2	4	7	13:18	-5	10
14	Aldosivi	13	0	6	7	3:14	-11	6
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	13	1	2	10	4:19	-15	5

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)