Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:2 penalties
19/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.32
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
81% (459/565)66% (155/234)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.76
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
81% (459/565)66% (155/234)
Long passes
58% (48/83)28% (16/58)
Passes in final third
65% (93/142)53% (50/94)
Crosses
21% (6/29)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.34
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
1518
Tackles
71% (12/17)50% (11/22)
Duels won
6068
Clearances
2164
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.760.70
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Herrera E. 🟨,
  • 42', Vega R. 🟨,
  • 43', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Vombergar A. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
  • 73', Herrera J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
  • 76', Cerutti E. 🟨,
  • 77', Cerutti E. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
  • 77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
  • 77', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
  • 81', Braida M. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
  • 83', Oroz N. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
  • 85', Muniain I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Molina T. ⚽,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Lozano L. (Pen),
  • 1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
  • 2, Sosa I. (Pen),
  • 2, Cuello A. (Pen),
  • 3, Prieto S. (Pen),
  • 3, Baez E. (Pen),
  • 4, Ardaiz J. (Pen),
  • 4, Herrera E. (Pen),
  • 5, Rodriguez D. (Pen),
  • 5, Dominguez N. (Pen),
  • 6, Molina T. (Pen),
  • 6, Tripichio N. (Pen),
  • 7, Lescano A. (Pen),
  • 7, Reali M. (Pen),
  • 8, Romero M. (Pen),
  • 8, Hernandez G. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentinos Juniors
54.1%		Draw
30.9%		San Lorenzo
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 29.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.7% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.75 ↓
    (2.03)    		 3.06 ↓
    (3.17)    		 6.26 ↑
    (4.06)    		 5.9%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - San Lorenzo (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Argentinos Juniors (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Argentinos Juniors will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 8 - 88.9%). San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3.
    • Argentinos Juniors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Argentinos Juniors is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Argentinos Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo 1:0
    22.07.2023 San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors 0:2
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    11.05.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba 3:1 ✺
    02.05.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 4:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors 1:1 ✺
    22.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central 3:0 ✺
    16.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Central Norte 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    10.05.2025 San Lorenzo - Tigre 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 1:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 0:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1144310:9116
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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