Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:2 penalties
19/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.32
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
81% (459/565)66% (155/234)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.76
Total shots
105
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
81% (459/565)66% (155/234)
Long passes
58% (48/83)28% (16/58)
Passes in final third
65% (93/142)53% (50/94)
Crosses
21% (6/29)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.34
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
1518
Tackles
71% (12/17)50% (11/22)
Duels won
6068
Clearances
2164
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.760.70
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Herrera E. 🟨,
  • 42', Vega R. 🟨,
  • 43', Herrera J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Hernandez G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Romana J. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Vombergar A. ⚽, Herrera E. (A),
  • 73', Herrera J. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
  • 76', Cerutti E. 🟨,
  • 77', Cerutti E. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
  • 77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
  • 77', Vega R. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
  • 81', Braida M. ↓, Cuello A. ↑,
  • 83', Oroz N. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
  • 85', Muniain I. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Molina T. ⚽,
  • Penalties (7 - 8)
  • 1, Lozano L. (Pen),
  • 1, Vombergar A. (Pen),
  • 2, Sosa I. (Pen),
  • 2, Cuello A. (Pen),
  • 3, Prieto S. (Pen),
  • 3, Baez E. (Pen),
  • 4, Ardaiz J. (Pen),
  • 4, Herrera E. (Pen),
  • 5, Rodriguez D. (Pen),
  • 5, Dominguez N. (Pen),
  • 6, Molina T. (Pen),
  • 6, Tripichio N. (Pen),
  • 7, Lescano A. (Pen),
  • 7, Reali M. (Pen),
  • 8, Romero M. (Pen),
  • 8, Hernandez G. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Argentinos Juniors
54.1%		Draw
30.9%		San Lorenzo
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 29.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.7% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentinos Juniors's performance.
  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Lorenzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.75 ↓
    (2.03)    		 3.06 ↓
    (3.17)    		 6.26 ↑
    (4.06)    		 5.9%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - San Lorenzo (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Argentinos Juniors (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Argentinos Juniors will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentinos Juniors will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 8 - 88.9%). San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3.
    • Argentinos Juniors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Lorenzo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Argentinos Juniors is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Argentinos Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Argentinos Juniors - San Lorenzo 1:0
    22.07.2023 San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors 0:2
    Latest results of Argentinos Juniors
    11.05.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Instituto Córdoba 3:1 ✺
    02.05.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 4:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors 1:1 ✺
    22.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central 3:0 ✺
    16.04.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Central Norte 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    10.05.2025 San Lorenzo - Tigre 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - San Lorenzo 1:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 San Lorenzo - Rosario Central 0:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Deportivo Riestra - San Lorenzo 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano ✔ 1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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