Result
1:0
10/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 17
- Referee: Christoforou M. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Miramon ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
- 40', Kalulu G. 🟨,
- 45+1', Charalampous C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Montnor J. ↓, McCausland R. ↑,
- 69', Effaghe R. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
- 69', Balogun L. ↓, Yago S. ↑,
- 69', Moucketou-Moussounda A. ↓, Gomis Y. ↑,
- 71', Bajic R. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 71', Ivanovic D. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
- 73', Bourhane Y. 🟨,
- 83', Bourhane Y. ↓, Matysik M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Charalampous C. ⚽,
- 86', Garcia A. ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
- 86', Naoum G. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 88', Matysik M. 🟥,
- 90+5', Roberge V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aris Limassol
37.7% | Draw
31% | AEK Larnaca
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(1.95) |
2.98 ↓
(3.61) |
2.94 ↓
(3.58) |
8.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aris Limassol will win (votes: 2 - 25%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris Limassol won 1.
- Aris Limassol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Aris Limassol: Balogun L.
(Inactive)
Ergas R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Angielski K.
(Inactive)
Chacon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Jimmy Suarez
(Inactive)
Saborit E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aris Limassol: Semedo E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Komar K.
(Broken Hand)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aris Limassol won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris Limassol won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris Limassol won against AEK Larnaca?
Aris Limassol has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Aris Limassol?
AEK Larnaca has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
22.09.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Aris Limassol
3:2
27.04.2025
Aris Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
1:0
29.03.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Aris Limassol
1:1
09.02.2025
Aris Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
1:1
03.11.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
Aris Limassol
2:0
Latest results of Aris Limassol
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 48:13 | 35 | 48 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 40:17 | 23 | 43 |
| 3 | Pafos | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 37:18 | 19 | 40 |
| 4 | Apollon | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 39 |
| 5 | Aris | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 37 |
| 6 | APOEL | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:17 | 19 | 36 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 | Ol. Nicosia | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 9 | Chloraka | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 22 |
| 10 | Omonia Aradippou | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 21 |
| 11 | Anorthosis | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 | Krasava | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | Achnas | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5:49 | -44 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
