Result
3:2
22/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 4
- Referee: Fotiou K. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, McCausland R. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Milicevic H. ⚽,
- 16', Charalampous C. 🟨,
- 18', Kvilitaia G. 🟨,
- 26', 2 - 1, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
- 43', Rohden M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Balogun L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Rohden M. 🟨,
- 62', McCausland R. ↓, Gomis Y. ↑,
- 62', Kakoullis A. ↓, Mayambela M. ↑,
- 65', Ekpolo G. 🟨,
- 68', Miramon ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
- 73', Moucketou-Moussounda A. ↓, Nikolic V. ↑,
- 78', Cabrera E. ↓, Bajic R. ↑,
- 78', Ivanovic D. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Montnor J. ⚽,
- 88', Milicevic H. 🟨,
- 90', Mayambela M. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 2, Ledes Gustavo ⚽,
- 90+2', Gnali J. ↓, Saborit E. ↑,
- 90+5', Montnor J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AEK Larnaca
43.8% | Draw
29.4% | Aris Limassol
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Aris Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.17) |
3.39 ↑
(3.04) |
3.73 ↑
(3.04) |
0.2%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Aris Limassol will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 2.
- AEK Larnaca is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aris Limassol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- AEK Larnaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- AEK Larnaca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Angielski K.
(Inactive)
Chacon Y.
(Inactive)
Garcia A.
(Muscle Injury)
Izquierdo J.
(Inactive)
Komar K.
(Inactive)
Naoum G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Aris Limassol: Goldson C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Aris Limassol?
AEK Larnaca has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aris Limassol won against AEK Larnaca?
Aris Limassol has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol were as follows:
27.04.2025
Aris Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
1:0
29.03.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Aris Limassol
1:1
09.02.2025
Aris Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
1:1
03.11.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
Aris Limassol
2:0
14.04.2024
Aris Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
0:1
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Latest results of Aris Limassol
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pafos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | APOEL | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Omonia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 13 | 13 |
| 4 | AEK Larnaca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Aris | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Apollon | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Achnas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Chloraka | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 | Krasava | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | AEL Limassol | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Ol. Nicosia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1:10 | -9 | 4 |
| 13 | Anorthosis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:16 | -11 | 3 |
| 14 | Paralimni | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1:13 | -12 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
