Result
1:0
10/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cyprus League - Round 17
- Referee: Christoforou M. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Miramon ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
- 40', Kalulu G. 🟨,
- 45+1', Charalampous C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Montnor J. ↓, McCausland R. ↑,
- 69', Effaghe R. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
- 69', Balogun L. ↓, Yago S. ↑,
- 69', Moucketou-Moussounda A. ↓, Gomis Y. ↑,
- 71', Bajic R. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
- 71', Ivanovic D. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
- 73', Bourhane Y. 🟨,
- 83', Bourhane Y. ↓, Matysik M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Charalampous C. ⚽,
- 86', Garcia A. ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
- 86', Naoum G. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 88', Matysik M. 🟥,
- 90+5', Roberge V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aris Limassol
37.7% | Draw
31% | AEK Larnaca
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris Limassol's form might have worsened.AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Larnaca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(1.95) |
2.98 ↓
(3.61) |
2.94 ↓
(3.58) |
8.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aris Limassol will win (votes: 2 - 25%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris Limassol won 1.
- Aris Limassol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Aris Limassol: Balogun L.
(Inactive)
Ergas R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Angielski K.
(Inactive)
Chacon Y.
(Knee Injury)
Jimmy Suarez
(Inactive)
Saborit E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aris Limassol: Semedo E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Komar K.
(Broken Hand)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aris Limassol won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris Limassol won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris Limassol won against AEK Larnaca?
Aris Limassol has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Aris Limassol?
AEK Larnaca has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
22.09.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Aris Limassol
3:2
27.04.2025
Aris Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
1:0
29.03.2025
AEK Larnaca
-
Aris Limassol
1:1
09.02.2025
Aris Limassol
-
AEK Larnaca
1:1
03.11.2024
AEK Larnaca
-
Aris Limassol
2:0
Latest results of Aris Limassol
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Omonia ✔ | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 55:16 | 39 | 54 |
| 2 | Apollon ✔ | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca ✔ | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Pafos ✔ | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 40:22 | 18 | 44 |
| 5 | APOEL | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40:22 | 18 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 39 |
| 7 | AEL Limassol | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 28 |
| 9 | Chloraka | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 26 |
| 10 | Anorthosis ✔ | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 17:32 | -15 | 25 |
| 11 | Ol. Nicosia ✔ | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 19:30 | -11 | 24 |
| 12 | Achnas ✔ | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 24:39 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | Krasava ✔ | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19:28 | -9 | 22 |
| 14 | Paralimni ✔ | 23 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 5:56 | -51 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )
Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Omonia is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Apollon is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
AEK Larnaca is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Pafos is Qualified for Cyprus League (Championship Group )
Anorthosis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Ol. Nicosia is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Achnas is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Krasava is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
Paralimni is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )
