Result
0:0
08/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 20
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | SportKlub |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (212/287) | 80% (360/450) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (212/287) | 80% (360/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (22/64) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (52/86) | 56% (63/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Hongla M. 🟨,
- 10', Zafeiris C. 🟨,
- 31', Perez C. 🟨,
- 45', Vogliacco A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Vogliacco A. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
- 57', Despodov K. ↓, Taison ↑,
- 59', Moron L. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
- 59', Dudu ↓, Donis A. ↑,
- 72', Perez C. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 83', Zafeiris C. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 83', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Jeremejeff A. ↑,
- 88', Jensen F. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
- 90+4', Kouame C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Alfarela M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Taison 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aris
22.8% | Draw
29% | PAOK
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Aris - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↓
(4.58) |
3.22 ↓
(3.37) |
1.96 ↑
(1.81) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Aris - PAOK?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). PAOK will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 50.9% – 95.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Aris (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PAOK will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Aris (votes: 1 - 14.3%). PAOK (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 1.
- Aris has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- PAOK is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Aris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- PAOK could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Aris: Alfarela M.
(Foot Injury)
Alvaro P.
(Inactive)
Galanopoulos K.
(Inactive)
Kadewere T.
(Inactive)
Mendyl H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Aris won against PAOK?
Aris has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Aris?
PAOK has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - PAOK were as follows:
07.12.2025
PAOK
-
Aris
3:1
03.12.2025
Aris
-
PAOK
1:1
19.01.2025
Aris
-
PAOK
0:0
29.09.2024
PAOK
-
Aris
0:1
19.05.2024
Aris
-
PAOK
1:2
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
