Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Cup Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin
Result
1:0 ET
25/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Polish Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandTVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
  • 42', Wojcik F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Percan , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 59', Predenkiewicz M. , Navarro M. ,
  • 61', Samper S. , Rodrigues I. ,
  • 61', Dadashov R. , Czubak K. ,
  • 69', Palacz K. 🟨,
  • 72', Fabio Ronaldo , Haxha F. ,
  • 77', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 77', Kocyla D. , Kerk S. ,
  • 78', Rusyn N. , Abramowicz D. ,
  • 90+10', Wolski B. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Ndiaye M. , van Hoeven B. ,
  • 101', Haxha F. , Karasek K. ,
  • 103', 1 - 0, Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 111', Navarro M. 🟨,
  • 115', Kerk S. 🟨,
  • 117', Perea L. 🟨,
  • 120+1', 🟨,
  • 120+1', Czubak K. 🟨,
  • 120+2', Meyer P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
39.9%
Draw
28.6%
Motor Lublin
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 28.7% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.2)
    3.22
    (3.11)
    2.93
    (2.92)
    8.4%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arka: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Motor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    20.07.2025 Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia 1:0
    02.06.2024 Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin 1:2
    12.04.2024 Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia 2:2
    29.09.2023 Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin 2:0
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    2Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    3Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    4ByeWisla
    5LKS LodzBye
    6ByeChrobry Glogow
    7GKS KatowiceBye
    8ByeWisla Plock
    9Gryf SlupskBye
    10ByePolonia Warszawa
    12ByeLech Poznan
    13LegnicaBye
    14ByePogon Siedlce
    16ByeJagiellonia
    17RakowBye
    19LecznaBye
    20ByeCracovia
    21Arka GdyniaBye
    22ByeMotor Lublin
    23Legia IIBye
    24ByeGornik Zabrze
    25Avia SwidnikBye
    26ByeRuch Chorzow
    27SwinoujscieBye
    28KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    29ZawiszaBye
    30ByeTychy
    31WikielecBye
    32PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    33LegiaBye
    35Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    36ByePogon Szczecin
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    40Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    41AndrychowBye
    42ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    43Legnica IIBye
    44Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    45Stal MielecBye
    46ByePuszcza
    47Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    48ByeLechia Gdansk
    49Termalica B-B.Bye
    50ByeWidzew Lodz
    51Radomiak RadomBye
    52ByeZaglebie
    53SrodaBye
    54KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    55T. MazowieckiBye
    56ByeSlask Wroclaw
    57OzimekBye
    58ByePruszkow
    59S. RzeszowBye
    60ByeKorona Kielce
    61LKS LomzaBye
    62ByeOdra Opole
    63Korona Kielce IIBye
    64ByePiast Gliwice

    1/32-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow0 : 1
    2Bytom OdrzanskiWisla0 : 1
    3LKS LodzChrobry Glogow5 : 3
    4GKS KatowiceWisla Plock4 : 2
    5Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa1 : 0
    6ByeLech Poznan
    7LegnicaPogon Siedlce2 : 0
    8ByeJagiellonia
    9RakowBye
    10LecznaCracovia1 : 5
    11Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin1 : 0
    12Legia IIGornik Zabrze0 : 3
    13Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow3 : 1
    14SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie3 : 2
    15ZawiszaTychy2 : 0
    16WikielecPodbeskidzie2 : 1
    17LegiaBye
    18Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola3 : 1
    20Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom0 : 1
    21AndrychowChojniczanka0 : 3
    22Legnica IISwit Szczecin1 : 3
    23Stal MielecPuszcza1 : 2
    24Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk0 : 1
    25Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz2 : 3
    26Radomiak RadomZaglebie0 : 2
    27SrodaOl. Grudziadz1 : 3
    28T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw1 : 2
    29OzimekPruszkow1 : 2
    30S. RzeszowKorona Kielce0 : 1
    31LKS LomzaOdra Opole0 : 2
    32Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Hutnik KrakowWisla
    2LKS LodzGKS Katowice
    3Gryf SlupskLech Poznan
    4LegnicaJagiellonia
    5RakowCracovia
    6Arka GdyniaGornik Zabrze
    7Avia SwidnikSwinoujscie
    8ZawiszaWikielec
    9LegiaPogon Szczecin
    10Goczalkowice Zdroj IIPolonia Bytom
    11ChojniczankaSwit Szczecin
    12PuszczaLechia Gdansk
    13Widzew LodzZaglebie
    14Ol. GrudziadzSlask Wroclaw
    15PruszkowKorona Kielce
    16Odra OpolePiast Gliwice