Result
1:0
20/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 1
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/459) | 78% (234/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/459) | 78% (234/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (82/118) | 64% (61/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Simon C. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 46', Zator D. ↓, Navarro M. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Wolski B. (A),
- 52', Celestine J. 🟨,
- 56', Sidibe A. 🟨,
- 63', Vitalucci H. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
- 63', Nguiamba A. ↓, Jakubczyk K. ↑,
- 63', Kocyla D. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 66', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 66', Krol M. ↓, Van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 68', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 70', Kerk S. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
- 71', Dadashov R. 🟨,
- 75', Scalet M. ↓, Rodrigues I. ↑,
- 82', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Palacz K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ndiaye M. ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin
38.2% | Draw
27.7% | Arka Gdynia
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motor Lublin's form might have worsened.Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arka Gdynia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motor Lublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arka Gdynia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(1.92) |
3.41 ↑
(3.3) |
2.77 ↓
(4) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Arka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Motor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Arka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Motor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Arka Gdynia?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Motor Lublin?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
02.06.2024
Arka Gdynia
-
Motor Lublin
1:2
12.04.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Arka Gdynia
2:2
29.09.2023
Arka Gdynia
-
Motor Lublin
2:0
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
