Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (216/277) | 83% (369/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (216/277) | 83% (369/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/45) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (75/91) | 74% (84/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/37) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Espiau Hernandez E. D. 🟨,
- 29', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 44', Luberecki F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Wolski B. 🟨,
- 66', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 66', Luberecki F. ↓, Haxha F. ↑,
- 75', Sidibe A. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
- 75', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 75', Rusyn N. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
- 79', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 79', Najemski A. ↓, Bartos M. ↑,
- 81', Scalet M. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 0, Perea L. ⚽,
- 87', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Percan ↑,
- 88', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 89', Kerk S. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
34.9% | Draw
29.1% | Motor Lublin
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.39) |
3.22 ↑
(2.99) |
2.61 ↓
(2.73) |
6.4%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Motor will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Motor (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Motor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)
- Arka is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Motor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Motor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Arka: Nguiamba A.
(Red Card)
Zator D.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Motor: Czubak K.
(Injury)
Ndiaye M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Motor Lublin?
Arka Gdynia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Arka Gdynia?
Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin were as follows:
25.09.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Motor Lublin
1:0
20.07.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Arka Gdynia
1:0
02.06.2024
Arka Gdynia
-
Motor Lublin
1:2
12.04.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Arka Gdynia
2:2
29.09.2023
Arka Gdynia
-
Motor Lublin
2:0
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
