Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
52
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1522
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Sobczak S. ,
  • 17', Sobczak S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Drag M. 🟨,
  • 59', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 72', Sobczak S. , Majchrzak J. ,
  • 72', Oliveira J. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 73', Vitalucci H. , Ratajczyk A. ,
  • 76', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 77', Kocaba F. 🟨,
  • 78', Gaprindashvili T. , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 79', Zielonka N. , Bykowski M. ,
  • 79', Szuprytowski D. , Hrnciar L. ,
  • 87', Dzieciol E. , Majewski M. ,
  • 90+1', Rzuchowski M. , Petrovic Z. ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
18.4%
Draw
24.3%
Arka Gdynia
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 23.1% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 22.3% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.07
    (5.11)
    3.82
    (4.06)
    1.62
    (1.6)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Arka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 0.
    • Recent matches Pogoń Siedlce is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Arka is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:16 (average 1.3:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:6 (average 3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Siedlce 2:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla11004:043
    2Polonia Bytom11003:033
    3Chrobry Glogow11003:033
    4Tychy11004:313
    5Grodzisk M11002:113
    6LKS Lodz11001:013
    7Slask Wroclaw10101:101
    8Ruch Chorzow10101:101
    9Polonia Warszawa10101:101
    10Puszcza10101:101
    11Pogon Siedlce10101:101
    12KS Wieczysta Krakow10101:101
    13Legnica10013:4-10
    14S. Rzeszow10011:2-10
    15Pruszkow10010:1-10
    16Odra Opole10010:3-30
    17Leczna10010:3-30
    18Stal Mielec10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2