Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
52
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1522
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Sobczak S. ,
  • 17', Sobczak S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Drag M. 🟨,
  • 59', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 72', Sobczak S. , Majchrzak J. ,
  • 72', Oliveira J. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 73', Vitalucci H. , Ratajczyk A. ,
  • 76', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 77', Kocaba F. 🟨,
  • 78', Gaprindashvili T. , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 79', Zielonka N. , Bykowski M. ,
  • 79', Szuprytowski D. , Hrnciar L. ,
  • 87', Dzieciol E. , Majewski M. ,
  • 90+1', Rzuchowski M. , Petrovic Z. ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
18.4%
Draw
24.3%
Arka Gdynia
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 23.1% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 22.3% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.07
    (5.11)
    3.82
    (4.06)
    1.62
    (1.6)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Arka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Arka (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Arka (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arka (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 0.
    • Recent matches Pogoń Siedlce is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Arka is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:16 (average 1.3:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:6 (average 3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Siedlce 2:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2