Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 30
  • Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
139
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
52
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
1522
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Sobczak S. ,
  • 17', Sobczak S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Drag M. 🟨,
  • 59', Dzieciol E. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 72', Sobczak S. , Majchrzak J. ,
  • 72', Oliveira J. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 73', Vitalucci H. , Ratajczyk A. ,
  • 76', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 77', Kocaba F. 🟨,
  • 78', Gaprindashvili T. , Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 79', Zielonka N. , Bykowski M. ,
  • 79', Szuprytowski D. , Hrnciar L. ,
  • 87', Dzieciol E. , Majewski M. ,
  • 90+1', Rzuchowski M. , Petrovic Z. ,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Siedlce
18.4%
Draw
24.3%
Arka Gdynia
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 23.1% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 22.3% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.07
    (5.11)
    3.82
    (4.06)
    1.62
    (1.6)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Arka will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Arka (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Arka (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 0.
    • Recent matches Pogoń Siedlce is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Arka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Arka is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:16 (average 1.3:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Siedlce won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:6 (average 3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Siedlce 2:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2