Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.881.01
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
70% (202/287)78% (323/412)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.881.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.70
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1222
Passes
70% (202/287)78% (323/412)
Long passes
37% (22/60)27% (12/45)
Passes in final third
63% (56/89)59% (51/87)
Crosses
19% (3/16)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.65
Throw-ins
3225
Fouls
2212
Tackles
76% (13/17)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5874
Clearances
2534
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.701.12
Goals prevented
1.700.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Alfa-Ruprecht F. 🟨,
  • 34', Watjen K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Boakye B. , Worl M. ,
  • 59', Grodowski J. , Kania J. ,
  • 61', Momuluh T. 🟨,
  • 63', Watjen K. , Kwarteng M. ,
  • 63', Alfa-Ruprecht F. , Bero M. ,
  • 64', Morgalla L. , Passlack F. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Hofmann P. , Kwarteng M. (A),
  • 76', Momuluh T. , Sarenren Bazee N. ,
  • 76', Russo S. , Schneider L. ,
  • 80', Lenz C. 🟨,
  • 80', Pannewig M. , Sissoko I. ,
  • 82', Worl M. 🟨,
  • 85', Strompf P. 🟨,
  • 86', Mehlem M. , Young I. ,
  • 87', Wittek M. , Koscierski K. ,
  • 88', Hofmann P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bochum
37.2%
Draw
28%
Arminia Bielefeld
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 26.3% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 26.2% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bochum's form might have worsened.
  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arminia Bielefeld's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bochum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.1)
    3.37
    (3.51)
    2.73
    (3.12)
    5.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Arminia will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 38.6%78%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bochum (votes: 1 - 25%). Arminia (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.
    • Bochum has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arminia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bochum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bochum might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Ankle Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Grodowski J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    12.08.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum 3:2
    Latest results of Bochum
    03.12.2025 Bochum - Stuttgart 0:2
    29.11.2025 Greuther Fürth - Bochum 0:3
    21.11.2025 Bochum - Dynamo Dresden 1:2
    15.11.2025 Bochum - Osnabrück 1:4
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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