Result
2:3
02/04/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 26
- Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Croatia | SportKlub |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Slovenia | Sport TV |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel 45% | Draw 26.6% | Arminia Bielefeld 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (2.02) |
3.55 ↓ (3.56) |
3.3 ↓ (3.44) |
6.2% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 70.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- Holstein Kiel has the most likely position - 9 (20.71%), project points - 46, currently - 34, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (14.62%), project points - 37, currently - 25, a chance of relegated (22%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 34, small importance 24, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0.
- Holstein Kiel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Arminia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Arminia have a series of home games.
- Holstein Kiel will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.
- Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Holstein Kiel?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
17.09.2022
Arminia Bielefeld
-
Holstein Kiel
4:2
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Schalke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga