Result
2:2
23/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 19
- Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (416/509) | 74% (236/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (416/509) | 74% (236/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 33% (21/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (135/186) | 54% (31/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/38) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', Felix J. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,
- 17', Nekic I. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Schneider L. (Own goal),
- 45+2', 0 - 2, Nekic I. ⚽, Niehoff N. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Schneider L. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
- 56', Ivezic M. 🟨,
- 58', Tohumcu U. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
- 64', Rochelt J. ↓, Worl M. ↑,
- 64', Telalovic S. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
- 66', Skrzybski S. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
- 66', Ivezic M. ↓, Komenda M. ↑,
- 67', Nekic I. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Grodowski J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Therkelsen J. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
- 74', Harres P. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
- 77', Grodowski J. 🟨,
- 86', Grodowski J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Sarenren Bazee N. ⚽, Uldrikis R. (A),
Chances of winning
Arminia Bielefeld
42.2% | Draw
28.8% | Holstein Kiel
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.25) |
3.28 ↓
(3.48) |
3.23 ↑
(2.86) |
6.3%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 35.4% – 82.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 57.1%) .
- AH -0.5 - Holstein Kiel (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Holstein Kiel (1.84) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- DC - Holstein Kiel (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arminia Bielefeld will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Arminia (votes: 5 - 50%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 5 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 5.
- In recent matches, Arminia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Holstein Kiel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Richter D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A.
(Foot Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Holstein Kiel?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
10.08.2025
Holstein Kiel
-
Arminia Bielefeld
0:2
02.04.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Arminia Bielefeld
2:3
17.09.2022
Arminia Bielefeld
-
Holstein Kiel
4:2
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
