Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld
Result
2:3
02/04/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 26
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
45%
Draw
26.6%
Arminia Bielefeld
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 26.3% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 25.9% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.02)
    3.55
    (3.56)
    3.3
    (3.44)
    6.2%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4%70.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • Holstein Kiel has the most likely position - 9 (20.71%), project points - 46, currently - 34, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (14.62%), project points - 37, currently - 25, a chance of relegated (22%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 34, small importance 24, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0.
    • Holstein Kiel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Arminia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Arminia have a series of home games.
    • Holstein Kiel will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    17.09.2022 Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel 4:2
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    2Braunschweig00000:000
    3Dusseldorf00000:000
    4Magdeburg00000:000
    5Holstein Kiel00000:000
    6Schalke00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Hertha Berlin00000:000
    9Karlsruher SC00000:000
    10Bochum00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Nurnberg00000:000
    13Greuther Furth00000:000
    14Kaiserslautern00000:000
    15Paderborn00000:000
    16Darmstadt00000:000
    17Preussen Munster00000:000
    18Elversberg00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga