Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:2
23/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.640.90
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
51
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
56
Passes
82% (416/509)74% (236/321)
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.640.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.620.13
Total shots
148
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
73
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
11
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1610
Passes
82% (416/509)74% (236/321)
Long passes
45% (24/53)33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
73% (135/186)54% (31/57)
Crosses
11% (4/38)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.67
Throw ins
1817
Fouls
1016
Tackles
58% (11/19)40% (4/10)
Duels won
6662
Clearances
1453
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.132.62
Goals prevented
-0.870.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 17', Felix J. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,
  • 17', Nekic I. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Schneider L. (Own goal),
  • 45+2', 0 - 2, Nekic I. ⚽, Niehoff N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Schneider L. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
  • 56', Ivezic M. 🟨,
  • 58', Tohumcu U. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
  • 64', Rochelt J. ↓, Worl M. ↑,
  • 64', Telalovic S. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
  • 66', Skrzybski S. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
  • 66', Ivezic M. ↓, Komenda M. ↑,
  • 67', Nekic I. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Grodowski J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 74', Therkelsen J. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
  • 74', Harres P. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
  • 77', Grodowski J. 🟨,
  • 86', Grodowski J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Sarenren Bazee N. ⚽, Uldrikis R. (A),

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
42.2%		Draw
28.8%		Holstein Kiel
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 26.5% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 26.7% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
    •

    Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.23 ↓
    (2.25)    		 3.28 ↓
    (3.48)    		 3.23 ↑
    (2.86)    		 6.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 35.4% – 82.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 57.1%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Holstein Kiel (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Holstein Kiel (1.84) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DC - Holstein Kiel (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arminia Bielefeld will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Arminia (votes: 5 - 50%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 5 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 5.
    • In recent matches, Arminia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld 0:2
    02.04.2023 Holstein Kiel - Arminia Bielefeld 2:3
    17.09.2022 Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel 4:2
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    16.01.2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0 ✺
    09.01.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Hansa Rostock 1:0
    19.12.2025 Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern 0:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    18.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 2:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Ferencvárosi - Holstein Kiel 0:2
    07.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Servette 1:1
    20.12.2025 Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden 2:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 3:3 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy