Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld
Result
4:0
28/05/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
29.5%
Draw
22.4%
Arminia Bielefeld
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 24.4% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 24.1% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Magdeburg's form might have worsened.
  • Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arminia Bielefeld's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magdeburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (2.67)
    4.16
    (3.9)
    1.97
    (2.37)
    6.2%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Arminia will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 35.9%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • Magdeburg has the most likely position - 11 (62.29%), project points - 41, currently - 40, not chance of relegated, not chance of promoted.
    • Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (57.01%), project points - 36, currently - 34, a chance of relegated (29%), not chance of promoted.
    • This event has small quality 29, importance 48, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Arminia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    13.11.2022 Arminia Bielefeld - Magdeburg 3:1
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    19.05.2023 Darmstadt - Magdeburg 1:0
    12.05.2023 Magdeburg - Nürnberg 2:2
    07.05.2023 Heidenheim - Magdeburg 0:0
    15.04.2023 Magdeburg - Sandhausen 1:2
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hannover33006:159
    2Darmstadt32105:147
    3Karlsruher SC32105:237
    4Arminia Bielefeld32018:356
    5Schalke32014:316
    6Braunschweig32014:406
    7Elversberg32013:306
    8Preussen Munster31115:504
    9Paderborn31114:404
    10SG Dynamo Dresden31025:6-13
    11Holstein Kiel31023:4-13
    12Kaiserslautern31022:3-13
    13Greuther Furth31025:7-23
    14Bochum31024:6-23
    15Magdeburg31023:5-23
    16Dusseldorf31023:8-53
    17Hertha Berlin30211:2-12
    18Nurnberg30031:4-30

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga