Schalke 04 vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
1:0
06/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.270.91
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
2412
Shots on target
83
Big chances
74
Corner kicks
92
Passes
58% (160/278)65% (225/345)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.270.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.640.49
Total shots
2412
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
104
Blocked shots
65
Shots inside the box
209
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
20
Headed goals
01
Big chances
74
Corner kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
3927
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
137
Passes
58% (160/278)65% (225/345)
Long passes
35% (22/63)48% (40/83)
Passes in final third
53% (66/125)58% (65/113)
Crosses
45% (10/22)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.80
Throw ins
2227
Fouls
713
Tackles
64% (9/14)80% (8/10)
Duels won
7974
Clearances
4847
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
37
xGOT faced
0.491.64
Goals prevented
-0.510.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Dzeko E. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Corboz M. 🟨,
  • 59', Rochelt J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
  • 59', Boakye B. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
  • 59', Corboz M. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
  • 72', Worl M. ↓, Yasar E. ↑,
  • 77', Russo S. 🟨,
  • 78', N'Diaye M. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
  • 78', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
  • 88', Dzeko E. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
  • 88', Aouchiche A. ↓, Wallentowitz M. ↑,
  • 89', Grodowski J. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
  • 90+3', Karaman K. ↓, Gomis C. ↑,

Chances of winning


Schalke 04
49.7%		Draw
26.3%		Arminia Bielefeld
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 26.7% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.4% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↓
    (1.93)    		 3.58 ↑
    (3.48)    		 3.9 ↑
    (3.71)    		 6.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Schalke (2.58) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Schalke (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Schalke (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Arminia (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Schalke (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Schalke (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (39 of 43 users predict this - 90.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.02% – 99.38%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Schalke 04 will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 25 - 96.2%). Arminia (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 12).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Schalke will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Karius L. (Back Injury) Katic N. (Yellow Cards) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury) Sylla M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Handwerker T. (Yellow Cards) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Momuluh T. (Yellow Cards) Richter D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Hagmann F. (Tooth injury) Young I. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Schalke won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04 1:2
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    28.02.2026 Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Magdeburg 5:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 Bochum - Schalke 04 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    28.02.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Hannover 0:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Greuther Fürth - Arminia Bielefeld 2:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Magdeburg - Arminia Bielefeld 0:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Eintracht Braunschweig 3:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke28167539:241555
    2Paderborn28166647:311654
    3Elversberg28157648:301852
    4Darmstadt281311450:321850
    5Hannover28148647:351250
    6Hertha Berlin28138743:331047
    7Kaiserslautern281341148:41743
    8Nurnberg281071138:38037
    9Karlsruher SC281071143:52-937
    10Bochum28891139:40-133
    11Arminia Bielefeld28871341:40131
    12Dusseldorf28941526:43-1731
    13Magdeburg28931643:51-830
    14Braunschweig28861430:45-1530
    15SG Dynamo Dresden28781345:47-229
    16Holstein Kiel28781334:42-829
    17Greuther Furth28851540:61-2129
    18Preussen Munster28691331:47-1627

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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