Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (409/520) | 52% (116/224) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (409/520) | 52% (116/224) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 23% (17/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (68/115) | 50% (49/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 46 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Antwi-Adjei C. ⚽,
- 17', Corboz M. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 2, Kurucay H. ⚽, Becker V. (A),
- 32', Schreck S. 🟨,
- 44', Grodowski J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Felix J. ↓, Young I. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Grosser M. ⚽, Lannert C. (A),
- 50', Becker V. 🟨,
- 69', Sylla M. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
- 69', Antwi-Adjei C. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
- 73', Grodowski J. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
- 77', Gantenbein A. 🟨,
- 80', Gantenbein A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
- 80', Becker V. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
- 85', Momuluh T. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
- 89', Worl M. ↓, Ocansey V. A. F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arminia Bielefeld
33.5% | Draw
26.7% | Schalke 04
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arminia Bielefeld's form might have worsened.Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Schalke 04's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arminia Bielefeld, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Schalke 04, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.22) |
3.67 ↑
(3.45) |
2.39 ↓
(2.98) |
1.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Schalke will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).
- Arminia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Schalke has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Arminia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Arminia: Handwerker T.
(Muscle Injury)
Hilterman J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mehlem M.
(Yellow Cards)
Sarenren Bazee N.
(Muscle Injury)
Uldrikis R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z.
(Knee Injury)
Gruger M.
(Foot Injury)
Hojlund E.
(Heel Injury)
Kalas T.
(Knock)
Remmert P.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Arminia: Mehlem M.
(Injury)
Momuluh T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Schalke: Becker T.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Schalke 04?
Arminia Bielefeld has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Schalke 04 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Schalke 04 were as follows:
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Latest results of Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Schalke | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hannover | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Nurnberg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Bochum | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
