Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyRTL, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandRTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.671.81
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
14
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
45
Passes
68% (193/284)78% (335/431)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
0.671.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.67
Total shots
616
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
48
Shots outside the box
28
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free kicks
107
Passes
68% (193/284)78% (335/431)
Long passes
29% (19/66)24% (12/50)
Passes in final third
53% (31/58)62% (88/141)
Crosses
31% (4/13)13% (4/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.32
Throw ins
2029
Fouls
710
Tackles
50% (3/6)79% (15/19)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
6020
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
1.670.84
Goals prevented
0.670.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Srbeny D. , Hrgota B. (A),
  • 30', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
  • 44', Hrgota B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Dehm J. , Reich L. ,
  • 59', Ltaief S. , Klaus F. ,
  • 60', Kurucay H. 🟨,
  • 74', Schallenberg R. , Bachmann J. ,
  • 75', Srbeny D. , Futkeu N. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Ljubicic D. ,
  • 81', Reich L. 🟨,
  • 85', Aouchiche A. , Porath F. ,
  • 88', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
  • 89', Katic N. 🟨,
  • 90', Dietz M. , Arifi D. ,
  • 90', Keller A. , Bjarnason B. ,

Chances of winning


Greuther Fürth
20.5%
Draw
23.9%
Schalke 04
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 25.7% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 25.2% 53.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.64
    (4.25)
    3.95
    (3.6)
    1.7
    (1.76)
    5.9%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DNB - Fürth (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fürth (votes: 1 - 50%). Schalke (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Fürth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Schalke is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fürth: Abrangao D. (Muscle Injury) Banse S. (Knee Injury) Green J. (Ankle Injury) Itter G. (Muscle Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Klaus F. (Injury) Schlieck T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Schalke: Becker V. (Knock) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Karius L. (Back Injury) Lasme B. (Knee Injury) Leonard D. (Ankle Injury) Matriciani H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04 were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth 1:0
    30.03.2025 Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04 3:3
    26.10.2024 Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth 3:4
    19.05.2024 Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04 2:0
    15.12.2023 Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth 2:2
    Latest results of Greuther Fürth
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    21.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Magdeburg 5:3
    15.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 1:2
    31.01.2026 Bochum - Schalke 04 2:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke31197548:282064
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern311441349:46346
    8Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    9Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    10Bochum311091245:44139
    11Holstein Kiel311081340:43-338
    12SG Dynamo Dresden31981450:50035
    13Arminia Bielefeld31981446:47-135
    14Braunschweig31971534:50-1634
    15Dusseldorf311041730:48-1834
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga