Result
3:0
29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arnedo 68.8% | Draw 20.5% | Yagüe 10.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Arnedo - Yagüe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.32 ↓ (1.43) |
4.44 ↑ (4.28) |
8.52 ↑ (6.07) |
9.8% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 1.
- Arnedo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Yagüe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arnedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arnedo is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Arnedo will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arnedo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Arnedo won against Yagüe?
Arnedo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yagüe won against Arnedo?
Yagüe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arnedo - Yagüe were as follows:
15.11.2025
Yagüe
-
Arnedo
1:1
11.05.2025
Yagüe
-
Arnedo
2:1
12.01.2025
Arnedo
-
Yagüe
2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 81:21 | 60 | 74 |
| 2 | Varea | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 66:23 | 43 | 62 |
| 4 | Calahorra | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 71:21 | 50 | 55 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 46 |
| 9 | Vianes | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Yague | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Berceo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | CDFC Calzada | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:52 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Comillas | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 26:51 | -25 | 31 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Villegas | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 32:60 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 | Autol | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18:70 | -52 | 14 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 30 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 22:71 | -49 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation