Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Pedrosa D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Diz M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estradense 32.2% | Draw 29.8% | Arosa 38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Estradense - Arosa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.83 ↑ (2.45) |
3.06 ↓ (3.2) |
2.4 ↓ (2.55) |
9.7% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 0.
- Estradense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arosa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Estradense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Arosa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Estradense won against Arosa?
Estradense has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arosa won against Estradense?
Arosa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estradense - Arosa were as follows:
23.11.2025
Arosa
-
Estradense
2:0
27.04.2025
Arosa
-
Estradense
1:0
14.12.2024
Estradense
-
Arosa
1:2
03.03.2024
Estradense
-
Arosa
1:1
15.10.2023
Arosa
-
Estradense
0:0
Latest results of Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation