Estradense vs Arosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Pedrosa D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Diz M. ,

Chances of winning


Estradense
32.2%
Draw
29.8%
Arosa
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 28.1% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 28.4% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Estradense - Arosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.45)
    3.06
    (3.2)
    2.4
    (2.55)
    9.7%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 0.
    • Estradense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arosa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Estradense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Arosa has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estradense - Arosa were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Arosa - Estradense 2:0
    27.04.2025 Arosa - Estradense 1:0
    14.12.2024 Estradense - Arosa 1:2
    03.03.2024 Estradense - Arosa 1:1
    15.10.2023 Arosa - Estradense 0:0
    Latest results of Estradense
    02.04.2026 Estradense - Lugo B 2:0
    22.03.2026 Estradense - Noia 0:0
    19.03.2026 RC Villalbes - Estradense 0:2
    15.03.2026 Estradense - Barbadás 3:2
    Latest results of Arosa
    02.04.2026 Arosa - RC Villalbes 3:1
    29.03.2026 Arosa - Somozas 1:0
    22.03.2026 Montañeros - Arosa 0:1
    18.03.2026 Arosa - Viveiro 4:1
    15.03.2026 Arosa - Atlético Arteixo 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation