Result
3:2
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Mella M. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Porrua P. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Estradense
61.5% | Draw
24.2% | Barbadás
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Barbadás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estradense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (+2%)
Estradense - Barbadás Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47
(1.47) |
3.75 ↓
(3.9) |
6.33 ↓
(6.48) |
10.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Estradense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Barbadás's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Estradense is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estradense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estradense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estradense won against Barbadás?
Estradense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barbadás won against Estradense?
Barbadás has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estradense - Barbadás were as follows:
26.10.2025
Barbadás
-
Estradense
0:4
29.09.2024
Estradense
-
Barbadás
4:2
21.01.2024
Estradense
-
Barbadás
1:1
Latest results of Estradense
Latest results of Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arosa SC | 33 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 55:33 | 22 | 67 |
| 2 | Compostela | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 65 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Boiro | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:27 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Estradense | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 | Somozas | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 50 |
| 7 | Racing Club Villalbes | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 34:28 | 6 | 49 |
| 8 | Lugo B | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Gran Pena | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 10 | Barco | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
| 11 | Montaneros | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 12 | Alondras | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 27:40 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Cambados | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23:39 | -16 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 27:52 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25:67 | -42 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
