Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arosa
54.3% | Draw
25.6% | Gran Peña
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Arosa - Gran Peña Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68
(1.68) |
3.55 ↓
(3.6) |
4.51 ↑
(4.4) |
10%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 1.
- Arosa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gran Peña has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Arosa is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arosa won against Gran Peña?
Arosa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Arosa?
Gran Peña has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Gran Peña were as follows:
14.09.2025
Gran Peña
-
Arosa
2:2
20.04.2025
Gran Peña
-
Arosa
1:2
06.12.2024
Arosa
-
Gran Peña
2:2
04.02.2024
Gran Peña
-
Arosa
3:0
17.09.2023
Arosa
-
Gran Peña
0:0
Latest results of Gran Peña
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
