Gran Peña vs Arosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Gran Peña - Arosa
Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, ,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Villaverde H. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 2, Martinez I. ,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
30.5%
Draw
27.8%
Arosa
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 28% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 28.2% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Gran Peña - Arosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.59)
    3.3
    (3.24)
    2.19
    (2.44)
    9.2%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 6).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Arosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Arosa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gran Peña won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Arosa were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Arosa - Gran Peña 2:2
    04.02.2024 Gran Peña - Arosa 3:0
    17.09.2023 Arosa - Gran Peña 0:0
    12.03.2023 Gran Peña - Arosa 2:1
    20.11.2022 Arosa - Gran Peña 2:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    17.04.2025 Barbadás - Gran Peña 2:0
    06.04.2025 Gran Peña - UD Ourense 1:1
    30.03.2025 Betanzos - Gran Peña 2:1
    23.03.2025 Gran Peña - Polvorín 3:2
    Latest results of Arosa
    17.04.2025 Arosa - Viveiro 3:2
    13.04.2025 Arosa - Somozas 1:2
    06.04.2025 Boiro - Arosa 1:1
    30.03.2025 Arosa - Villalonga 1:2
    23.03.2025 Valladares - Arosa 0:4
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2