Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arosa 54.3% | Draw 25.6% | Gran Peña 20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Arosa - Gran Peña Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 (1.68) |
3.55 ↓ (3.6) |
4.51 ↑ (4.4) |
10% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 1.
- Arosa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gran Peña has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Arosa is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arosa won against Gran Peña?
Arosa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gran Peña won against Arosa?
Gran Peña has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Gran Peña were as follows:
14.09.2025
Gran Peña
-
Arosa
2:2
20.04.2025
Gran Peña
-
Arosa
1:2
06.12.2024
Arosa
-
Gran Peña
2:2
04.02.2024
Gran Peña
-
Arosa
3:0
17.09.2023
Arosa
-
Gran Peña
0:0
Latest results of Gran Peña
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 41:20 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 3 | Somozas | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 42 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 29:19 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | Atletico Arteixo | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Barco | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Estradense | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Celtiga | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 36 |
| 11 | Boiro | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 36 |
| 12 | Alondras | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 13 | Montaneros | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 16 | Cambados | 26 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17:26 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Noia | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18:42 | -24 | 18 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 16:46 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation